inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 95 Excitement6.1 [463] MVPLinas Kleiza (TOR): +28.6%
New Orleans Hornets 84 Comeback3.6 [208] LVPJarrett Jack (NOH): -18.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.170.120.001372%0.2900.00367%-0.00
Leandro Barbosa0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.090.200.01875%0.291-0.024100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.130.020.08-0.021848%0.151-0.02862%-0.01
Jerryd Bayless0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.010.070.00450%0.0900.002100%0.02
James Johnson0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00460%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Carter-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.060,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01644%-0.012-0.05475%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.01944%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Ed Davis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.070.021250%-0.032-0.0700%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.060.16-0.041556%0.281-0.036100%0.05
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011055%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00556%0.082-0.06683%0.01
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.03-0.00250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.001450%0.031-0.03683%0.02
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gustavo Ayon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.050.01861%0.021-0.05250%-0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.05-0.01729%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.0360%-0.1100.0020%-0.04
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.090.011234%-0.112-0.07580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.631.615.428.31.732.3137.0
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +56.0%
NOH -2.4%
NOH -10.9%
TOR +5.4%
TOR +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNOHNBATORNOHNBA
this game16.615.615.6106.793.3102.8
season16.516.398.999.2
opponent15.715.2103.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR17.114.616.918.316.6
NOH15.614.213.819.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerryd Bayless26270.90-0.401.310.2921-103117.616.21.4219.214.05.15
Leandro Barbosa42420.75-0.250.990.1022-113316.316.9-0.6516.514.81.68
Linas Kleiza59600.470.030.430.1112-11316.417.1-0.7415.715.20.52
DeMar DeRozan73730.380.120.270.2456-117.213.73.5615.814.51.37
Ed Davis42420.290.210.09-0.0913-21515.517.6-2.1414.816.2-1.44
Amir Johnson65670.270.230.030.1547-316.616.50.1515.416.0-0.63
James Johnson40410.060.44-0.380.09-112-1317.016.30.7115.615.60.06
Anthony Carter10-0.050.55-0.590.01-213-154.016.7-12.750.015.6-15.58
Aaron Gray3435-0.170.67-0.840.10-920-2917.316.21.1614.916.0-1.18
Jose Calderon6363-0.400.90-1.31-0.11-1021-3116.217.6-1.4214.019.2-5.15

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Kaman4647-0.05-0.450.40-0.298-192716.015.20.7717.715.42.37
Jarrett Jack5958-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-7315.016.6-1.5816.317.3-1.00
Marco Belinelli7473-0.18-0.320.14-0.335-162115.515.8-0.2917.313.24.09
Gustavo Ayon5249-0.21-0.290.07-0.12-3-8515.515.6-0.0917.615.32.28
Al-Farouq Aminu3228-0.23-0.270.040.09-110-1114.516.2-1.6214.417.6-3.23
Lance Thomas2221-0.27-0.23-0.040.03-10-1-914.815.8-1.0116.116.8-0.67
Xavier Henry1111-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-143-1718.215.22.9714.216.9-2.77
Solomon Jones4647-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-132-1515.116.1-1.0015.417.9-2.50
Trevor Ariza6466-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-9716.114.31.7317.015.51.46
Greivis Vasquez4445-0.540.04-0.58-0.22-110-1116.314.91.4516.516.7-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 102, DEN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.01,091.9%
DET 93, MIL 850.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.09,0,091.4%
UTA 93, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,091.0%