NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	6.0 [624]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +16.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	80		Comeback	2.2 [309]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -17.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	8	80%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	58%	0.09	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	12	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.06	0.00	16	44%	0.10	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	32%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.09	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	15	26%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	13	48%	-0.01	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	8	29%	-0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.4	28.3	14.8	26.5	1.0	33.0	130.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.9%

PHI -0.4%

UTA +16.5%

UTA +8.4%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	15.5	98.9	85.1	106.4
season	15.3	15.5		107.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.0		105.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	16.6	19.6	15.7	16.7
PHI	13.6	13.4	13.8	14.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	62	63	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.02	24	-11	35	16.2	17.7	-1.57	14.9	11.9	3.07
Kyle Korver	35	36	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-2	17	16.2	17.0	-0.86	14.6	13.5	1.16
Paul Millsap	61	61	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-7	27	16.6	16.8	-0.21	14.7	12.5	2.22
Brevin Knight	19	22	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	2	9	17.9	16.4	1.48	15.7	13.4	2.29
Ronnie Brewer	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	4	5	16.7	16.6	0.14	14.1	13.3	0.79
Ronnie Price	11	10	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	8	-3	14.5	17.0	-2.45	15.7	13.7	1.99
Carlos Boozer	68	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	13	-13	16.7	16.8	-0.08	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Kosta Koufos	44	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	18	-23	17.2	16.3	0.97	12.3	15.4	-3.11
Deron Williams	64	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.03	-3	16	-19	16.7	16.7	0.07	13.0	15.7	-2.67
CJ Miles	32	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	24	-35	17.7	16.2	1.57	11.9	14.9	-3.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	69	68	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-25	37	12.8	17.0	-4.13	17.6	14.5	3.06
Royal Ivey	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	14.3	13.9	0.42	9.0	17.0	-7.97
Samuel Dalembert	64	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-15	17	13.7	14.3	-0.60	17.1	15.9	1.13
Reggie Evans	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-10	7	12.3	14.1	-1.82	17.2	16.7	0.56
Andre Miller	71	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-12	11	13.9	14.1	-0.27	17.2	15.1	2.08
Andre Iguodala	82	84	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-8	3	13.9	14.2	-0.37	16.9	15.5	1.36
Kareem Rush	13	12	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-7	1	14.9	13.8	1.16	14.2	17.1	-2.92
Thaddeus Young	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	13.7	15.2	-1.42	16.8	16.3	0.47
Marreese Speights	18	19	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	7	-27	17.7	13.0	4.63	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Lou Williams	34	32	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.04	-18	5	-23	14.6	13.5	1.08	15.9	17.1	-1.27
Willie Green	24	24	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.11	-18	5	-23	14.9	13.6	1.27	15.7	17.1	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 103, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	92.7%
LAC 100, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.15,0	92.4%
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	91.8%