inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 127 Excitement7.9 [292] MVPPascal Siakam (TOR): +21.2%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback5.8 [148] LVPDeMarcus Cousins (DEN): -14.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.210,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.180.060.022263%0.231-0.02887%0.02
Chris Boucher0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.160.110.080.021560%0.1600.00580%0.01
Precious Achiuwa0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.03-0.041071%0.212-0.051100%0.01
Thaddeus Young0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.080.02669%0.151-0.041100%0.01
Scottie Barnes0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.022058%0.141-0.04333%-0.02
Khem Birch0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00657%0.081-0.042100%0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yuta Watanabe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Armoni Brooks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dalano Banton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.011326%-0.111-0.03560%-0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.110.021268%0.241-0.0410%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.010.021374%0.213-0.10989%0.04
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00480%0.111-0.022100%0.02
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.02772%0.122-0.05425%-0.04
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.030.01664%0.081-0.03250%-0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,00.000.00-0.01-0.011362%0.084-0.0800%0.00
Markus Howard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Facundo Campazzo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02650%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Davon Reed0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00545%0.022-0.071100%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.090.00641%-0.033-0.125100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.61.830.314.729.02.027.0128.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN -22.2%
TOR +10.9%
TOR +30.2%
TOR +32.7%
DEN -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game15.514.314.5132.3118.6110.8
season14.914.8111.3113.4
opponent14.414.8111.6109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.914.215.017.315.5
DEN13.515.212.716.214.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dalano Banton28310.71-0.210.920.2715-31816.715.01.7416.413.43.02
Khem Birch40400.71-0.210.910.1519-72615.915.20.7415.513.51.99
Chris Boucher58590.62-0.120.740.1815-31815.914.91.0414.314.30.02
Scottie Barnes77770.59-0.090.690.1515-31815.814.51.2414.912.12.75
Thaddeus Young45450.56-0.060.610.201201216.414.71.7414.014.7-0.70
Svi Mykhailiuk120.000.50-0.500.00012-1218.015.52.5113.514.3-0.85
Yuta Watanabe120.000.50-0.500.00012-1218.015.52.5113.514.3-0.85
Precious Achiuwa4343-0.100.60-0.71-0.05-214-1614.716.2-1.5814.014.6-0.55
Pascal Siakam7775-0.170.67-0.84-0.14-113-1415.017.6-2.5713.716.4-2.63
Armoni Brooks4546-0.180.68-0.870.02-719-2614.816.1-1.3213.914.7-0.79
Gary Trent Jr.6565-0.230.73-0.96-0.06-618-2415.016.6-1.5713.416.1-2.68

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Davon Reed58580.22-0.720.930.075-172213.415.6-2.1915.215.9-0.71
Markus Howard22-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-121213.514.3-0.8517.515.52.02
Facundo Campazzo22-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-121213.514.3-0.8517.515.52.02
Bryn Forbes3230-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-10815.213.91.2814.416.0-1.58
Nikola Jokic6363-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-8413.316.1-2.8015.815.10.70
Monte Morris5655-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-7-5-214.114.6-0.4815.915.00.82
JaMychal Green4141-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-5-7214.614.10.4815.015.9-0.82
Jeff Green4847-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.03-10-2-814.214.5-0.3216.514.61.98
Bones Hyland4040-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-5-214.614.10.5014.916.0-1.11
DeMarcus Cousins3231-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.14-8-4-416.313.42.9614.915.8-0.91
Will Barton6363-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.14-120-1214.114.7-0.5316.114.41.67
Austin Rivers4848-0.520.02-0.54-0.23-10-2-815.013.71.3715.215.8-0.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,093.5%
LAC 109, HOU 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.27,0.24,0.01,0.01,0.09,092.7%
PHI 114, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,092.5%