NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	116		Excitement	5.9 [623]		MVP	Moritz Wagner (ORL): +24.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.4 [263]		LVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): -13.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.10	0.01	12	69%	0.25	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Cole Anthony	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.11	-0.03	8	81%	0.23	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	4	133%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Franz Wagner	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	61%	0.14	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Suggs	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	9	89%	0.23	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	4	100%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Max Strus	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	10	75%	0.18	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.04
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.05	9	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.10	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.3	15.5	31.4	2.4	33.4	134.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.7%

CLE -4.3%

ORL +6.4%

ORL +23.4%

ORL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	17.5	13.5	14.5	126.1	116.0	113.9
season	15.1	14.8		111.8	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	17.5	18.6	17.7	17.5
CLE	13.1	13.8	13.5	13.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	45	47	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-11	29	18.4	16.7	1.65	13.8	13.2	0.57
Joe Ingles	34	36	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.01	23	-16	39	17.5	17.5	-0.02	14.1	13.1	0.95
Jonathan Isaac	34	35	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-10	27	18.6	16.8	1.80	14.1	13.2	0.89
Anthony Black	45	46	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.01	21	-14	35	17.5	17.5	0.04	14.2	12.8	1.36
Cole Anthony	35	37	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-1	9	18.2	17.1	1.07	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Paolo Banchero	65	66	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	14	-21	16.9	19.1	-2.21	13.6	13.2	0.46
Franz Wagner	61	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.26	-12	19	-31	17.9	16.8	1.01	13.2	14.0	-0.82
Gary Harris	59	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.20	-10	17	-27	16.8	18.7	-1.90	12.7	14.8	-2.03
Jalen Suggs	36	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	19	-31	17.2	17.7	-0.43	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Wendell Carter Jr.	46	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	18	-29	16.9	18.2	-1.28	13.2	13.8	-0.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	66	64	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-18	29	12.9	14.9	-1.98	17.6	17.2	0.43
Jarrett Allen	68	68	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-16	25	13.4	13.7	-0.27	17.0	19.1	-2.13
Craig Porter Jr.	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-2	-3	14.1	13.4	0.69	21.3	17.2	4.09
Darius Garland	72	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	13.7	12.7	1.01	17.2	18.7	-1.56
Evan Mobley	67	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	12.6	15.7	-3.14	18.3	15.6	2.77
Dean Wade	26	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	2	-11	15.0	12.9	2.13	16.1	18.0	-1.91
Sam Merrill	19	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	3	-13	13.3	13.5	-0.23	20.0	16.8	3.29
Isaac Okoro	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.6	11.7	2.84	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Caris LeVert	57	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	3	-13	13.2	13.9	-0.74	16.6	18.9	-2.31
Georges Niang	30	28	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.04	-20	13	-33	13.5	13.5	-0.00	18.6	17.0	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
LAL 116, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
POR 103, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%