NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	5.3 [742]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +20.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.8 [759]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.04	0.05	8	111%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ron Harper	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	22	45%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	15	54%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.04	0.06	11	54%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.04	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	9	67%	0.02
Lari Ketner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	18	52%	0.02	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	28.1	14.8	24.1	2.5	31.6	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.1%

LAL +2.5%

CLE -8.2%

LAL +19.4%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.2	126.1	104.3	101.7
season	15.3	14.1		105.6	98.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		101.5	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	15.4	16.0	15.3	15.8
CLE	14.6	15.2	17.4	13.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	33	34	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-5	28	13.9	16.9	-2.96	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Robert Horry	41	43	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	-5	28	14.5	16.9	-2.35	14.1	16.0	-1.84
Brian Shaw	41	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	8	2	15.0	16.5	-1.60	15.7	14.7	0.92
Rick Fox	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	10	-2	15.0	16.5	-1.60	15.4	14.9	0.52
Shaquille O'Neal	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	6	6	15.9	15.7	0.23	16.0	13.6	2.38
Kobe Bryant	74	76	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	12	-6	16.0	15.1	0.90	15.0	15.9	-0.93
John Salley	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	17	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.12	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Glen Rice	59	61	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	10	-2	16.2	15.1	1.12	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Travis Knight	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	22.3	15.6	6.72	7.7	15.5	-7.72
Devean George	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	22.3	15.6	6.72	6.3	15.4	-9.10
Ron Harper	43	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	14	-10	17.1	14.7	2.45	15.3	15.0	0.34
A.C. Green	51	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	25	-32	16.9	14.5	2.35	15.8	14.3	1.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	60	60	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-23	28	15.0	15.4	-0.34	16.1	15.2	0.90
Andre Miller	70	69	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-17	16	15.5	14.2	1.25	16.0	15.3	0.77
Lari Ketner	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	6.3	15.4	-9.10	22.3	15.6	6.72
Ryan Stack	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	6.3	15.4	-9.10	22.3	15.6	6.72
Lamond Murray	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-9	0	15.6	13.4	2.20	15.8	15.8	0.00
Shawn Kemp	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-12	6	16.1	13.0	3.10	16.1	15.2	0.92
Wesley Person	89	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-2	-14	14.9	20.2	-5.35	15.9	14.2	1.73
Earl Boykins	27	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-3	-12	14.2	15.5	-1.34	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Danny Ferry	36	34	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.12	-23	5	-28	15.3	15.0	0.27	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Andrew DeClercq	47	43	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.05	-25	7	-32	14.3	16.0	-1.68	15.3	16.3	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
SEA 108, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
BOS 104, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%