NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	8.7 [185]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +32.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	5.9 [623]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -19.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.53,0.32	0.18	0.15	0.01	17	80%	0.64	4	-0.32	6	83%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.00	16	62%	0.20	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Alex Caruso	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.00	6	71%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.06
Ayo Dosunmu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	16	28%	-0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.05	-0.08	11	73%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.14,0.24	0.24	0.00	0.25	0.01	10	55%	0.32	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.16	0.06	21	55%	0.22	0	0.00	13	92%	0.15
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	9	55%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Max Strus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.5	25.2	15.5	26.5	3.5	43.2	140.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.0%

CHI -1.8%

CHI -19.7%

CLE +43.7%

CLE +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.5	109.4	114.9	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	113.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		111.3	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	15.7	14.2	15.6	15.1
CLE	16.4	15.6	14.0	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	12	11	0.18	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-11	19	13.8	15.3	-1.43	16.4	15.1	1.28
Dalen Terry	13	12	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	-2	1	16.2	14.9	1.24	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Torrey Craig	43	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.7	14.9	0.77
Ayo Dosunmu	68	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	15.3	14.6	0.67	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Andre Drummond	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.50	8	-11	19	15.0	15.2	-0.29	15.3	15.1	0.21
DeMar DeRozan	82	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.0	15.4	-0.40	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Alex Caruso	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	4	-11	14.7	15.5	-0.75	16.3	14.1	2.20
Coby White	78	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Nikola Vucevic	79	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	8	-19	15.4	13.4	2.03	15.1	15.7	-0.60

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-6	15	15.1	15.6	-0.44	15.2	14.9	0.27
Darius Garland	62	64	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.59	0	3	-3	14.8	16.1	-1.26	14.5	16.2	-1.70
Isaac Okoro	50	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	2	-1	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.6	14.5	1.08
Evan Mobley	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.56	-6	9	-15	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Donovan Mitchell	76	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	-1	5	15.0	16.3	-1.29	15.1	15.1	0.03
Caris LeVert	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-6	15	15.6	14.9	0.65	15.3	14.9	0.43
Georges Niang	47	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	-3	9	15.8	14.7	1.15	15.6	14.6	0.92
Max Strus	58	58	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	15.2	15.2	0.02	15.3	14.7	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.39,0.37,0.85,0.84,1	92.0%
NYK 84, GSW 86	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.42,1	91.5%
TOR 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.31,0.63,0.85,0.91,1	91.3%