NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	8.4 [193]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +29.0%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	5.3 [707]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -32.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.06	0.19	0.05	10	68%	0.28	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	6	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Voshon Lenard	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	17	51%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Damone Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	7	28%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06
Antonio Davis	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.16	-0.20	-0.04	19	33%	-0.29	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29	0.29	-0.03	0.32	0.00	14	55%	0.36	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	6	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	12	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	11	73%	0.08	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.2	16.7	26.4	1.8	36.9	133.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.3%

IND +15.4%

TOR -8.7%

TOR -4.7%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.5	108.9	112.2	101.6
season	16.2	15.4		98.8	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.5	15.1	17.6	16.9	16.8
IND	16.8	16.9	13.7	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	41	40	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.10	-1	-2	1	16.6	17.0	-0.37	15.7	14.8	0.92
Damone Brown	13	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	0	-3	16.6	16.8	-0.20	16.0	15.1	0.92
Jelani McCoy	29	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	16.9	16.7	0.16	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Lindsey Hunter	36	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	7	-17	18.4	15.7	2.67	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Voshon Lenard	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-5	7	15.9	19.7	-3.75	15.1	15.7	-0.66
Antonio Davis	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-7	11	16.6	17.3	-0.69	15.6	14.1	1.51
Alvin Williams	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.56	5	-8	13	16.0	18.6	-2.59	15.1	15.5	-0.47
Morris Peterson	49	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-2	1	18.1	15.2	2.84	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Jerome Williams	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	1	-5	16.9	15.0	1.89	15.0	17.8	-2.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	49	49	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.52	4	-1	5	14.6	16.0	-1.40	17.0	16.5	0.51
Brad Miller	66	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	15.2	15.1	0.12	16.2	18.3	-2.06
Ron Mercer	48	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-3	9	15.1	15.4	-0.27	16.8	16.8	0.02
Erick Strickland	54	54	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.8	14.3	1.56	16.5	17.2	-0.77
Jermaine O'Neal	81	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	3	-3	15.1	16.4	-1.37	16.7	17.9	-1.19
Jeff Foster	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	0	3	18.0	14.8	3.22	17.2	16.7	0.45
Jamaal Tinsley	55	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.57	17.5	15.7	1.71
Al Harrington	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	4	-5	16.1	14.7	1.41	17.6	16.3	1.28
Metta World Peace	51	51	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	14.9	15.6	-0.76	16.5	17.2	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.54,0.31,0.63,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.95,1	92.5%
MIN 82, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.77,0.74,1	92.3%
VAN 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	91.6%