NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	127		Excitement	4.3 [925]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +17.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	1.0 [967]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): -6.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.08	0.03	-0.06	21	64%	0.28	7	-0.11	16	75%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	12	81%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	11	60%	0.09	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	3	89%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	79%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	12	54%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Trent Forrest	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	16	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	16	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Terquavion Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	21	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.03	0.12	19	54%	-0.07	0	0.00	14	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.2	14.7	25.4	2.3	45.6	143.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.9%

ATL +5.2%

PHI -6.1%

PHI -0.7%

PHI -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	13.6	14.5	127.0	119.8	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		115.7	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.6	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.3	14.6	16.0	15.0
PHI	13.7	15.0	14.2	11.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-1	8	14.8	15.9	-1.07	13.4	14.8	-1.49
Trae Young	84	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	1	4	14.8	16.1	-1.23	13.2	15.9	-2.62
Onyeka Okongwu	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-2	10	14.2	17.1	-2.93	14.2	12.1	2.10
Saddiq Bey	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	-2	10	14.2	17.1	-2.93	14.2	12.1	2.10
Bogdan Bogdanovic	73	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	14.2	17.2	-2.95	14.2	12.4	1.80
Garrison Mathews	27	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	1	4	17.2	14.2	2.95	12.4	14.2	-1.80
De'Andre Hunter	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	9	-12	16.6	13.6	3.03	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Bruno Fernando	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	8	-10	17.1	14.2	2.93	12.1	14.2	-2.10
Trent Forrest	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	16.1	14.8	1.23	15.9	13.2	2.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-6	6	13.6	13.6	-0.02	18.2	14.6	3.56
Mo Bamba	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-11	16	12.2	14.4	-2.24	15.6	14.7	0.93
Cameron Payne	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-10	14	13.6	13.8	-0.21	15.6	13.5	2.12
Terquavion Smith	30	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	5	-16	12.9	13.9	-1.04	13.3	15.7	-2.42
Buddy Hield	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-5	4	13.8	12.8	1.04	15.3	13.7	1.60
KJ Martin	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	4	-14	13.9	13.4	0.48	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	87	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	13.3	16.0	-2.75	14.6	17.3	-2.63
Tobias Harris	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	13.9	12.7	1.16	15.1	14.9	0.16
Paul Reed	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	5	-16	14.6	11.9	2.75	14.7	15.6	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	96.4%
BKN 130, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	96.2%
NOP 117, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	96.1%