NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	8.6 [192]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +30.1%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	6.6 [139]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -16.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3	0.11	0.19	0.00	18	65%	0.34	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chet Holmgren	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.02	0.01	13	73%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Ousmane Dieng	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	3	133%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Luguentz Dort	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cason Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09	0.08	-0.14	0.04	22	57%	-0.00	2	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.24	0.05	0.03	18	82%	0.33	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.01	11	73%	0.28	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	15	67%	0.22	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.03	6	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Luka Samanic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	29.2	14.5	24.4	2.5	33.6	128.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.5%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +18.0%

OKC -21.3%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	14.5	119.4	122.8	113.9
season	13.9	14.7		117.1	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.7		119.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	14.8	15.0	13.0	14.3
UTA	14.0	13.4	15.0	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ousmane Dieng	21	22	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-16	25	15.2	14.0	1.18	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Lindy Waters III	0	1	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-9	11	0.0	14.3	-14.27	8.0	14.7	-6.74
Kenrich Williams	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-8	9	14.2	14.3	-0.07	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Jaylin Williams	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.7	13.3	3.42	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Vasilije Micic	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.0	1.01	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Josh Giddey	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	13.9	14.7	-0.87	15.5	13.7	1.86
Cason Wallace	30	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-6	5	15.2	13.9	1.35	15.5	14.3	1.22
Jalen Williams	73	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	13.9	15.4	-1.52	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.7	14.7	-0.06
Aaron Wiggins	36	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	14.1	14.3	-0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Chet Holmgren	63	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	13.6	15.5	-1.85	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Luguentz Dort	63	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	5	-17	14.1	14.6	-0.48	14.7	14.6	0.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	76	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-8	23	14.5	15.1	-0.54	14.4	13.8	0.62
Kris Dunn	56	53	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-11	29	14.5	14.9	-0.35	14.3	14.2	0.08
Keyonte George	55	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.40	6	1	5	14.7	14.6	0.16	14.5	14.0	0.47
Walker Kessler	43	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	5	-3	14.4	14.9	-0.44	14.2	14.3	-0.05
Simone Fontecchio	52	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	15.2	14.1	1.11	14.5	14.1	0.42
Collin Sexton	56	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	2	3	14.9	14.4	0.57	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Jordan Clarkson	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	10	-13	14.2	15.2	-0.95	14.5	14.0	0.51
Kelly Olynyk	35	34	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	9	-11	14.6	14.7	-0.11	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Luka Samanic	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	13.5	14.9	-1.36	14.8	14.2	0.67
John Collins	63	62	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.16	-2	9	-11	14.9	14.2	0.70	13.9	15.0	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.52,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.51,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.77,0.98,1	90.7%
BOS 107, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	90.0%
LAC 93, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.72,0.57,0.91,1	89.3%