NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	7.5 [344]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +22.6%
Atlanta Hawks	118		Comeback	5.7 [369]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -29.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
RJ Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	17	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.18,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.13	-0.18	-0.01	19	38%	-0.14	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	0.01	22	70%	0.29	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	12	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	15	73%	0.20	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	13	72%	0.15	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	29.2	14.8	26.2	2.4	30.2	129.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +55.7%

ATL +2.4%

BOS -8.5%

BOS -4.7%

ATL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.9	103.9	115.7	105.1
season	13.9	14.2		104.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		100.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	13.8	12.6	15.4	13.6
ATL	15.9	14.4	12.7	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	39	39	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.35	15	-26	41	13.4	13.7	-0.33	15.2	14.1	1.13
Terry Rozier	5	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-16	21	14.0	13.6	0.43	17.8	14.3	3.53
RJ Hunter	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	0.0	13.6	-13.59	42.0	14.2	27.76
James Young	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	0.0	13.6	-13.59	42.0	14.2	27.76
Amir Johnson	58	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	12.6	14.8	-2.22	14.5	14.5	0.04
Avery Bradley	76	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-5	-1	13.7	13.3	0.35	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Jared Sullinger	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-2	-7	13.7	13.6	0.15	13.2	14.9	-1.65
Tyler Zeller	10	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.5	13.4	2.11	15.1	14.5	0.66
Marcus Smart	75	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	13.0	15.3	-2.33	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Jonas Jerebko	28	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	14.1	13.4	0.71	15.1	14.3	0.78
Evan Turner	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	14.3	12.8	1.46	14.9	14.1	0.76
Jae Crowder	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	3	-17	14.1	12.2	1.98	14.0	15.7	-1.71
Isaiah Thomas	73	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.09	-16	5	-21	13.4	14.0	-0.58	13.9	16.0	-2.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	84	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-9	29	14.0	16.9	-2.96	13.4	14.6	-1.19
Kyle Korver	55	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.18	26	-15	41	13.5	15.7	-2.13	14.2	12.8	1.46
Al Horford	70	72	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	2	7	14.3	15.0	-0.67	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Dennis Schroder	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	11	-11	14.7	14.4	0.31	13.9	13.4	0.56
Kent Bazemore	66	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	14.0	15.5	-1.53	12.0	16.5	-4.47
Jeff Teague	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	0	11	14.4	14.7	-0.31	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Thabo Sefolosha	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	16	-21	15.0	13.7	1.33	14.3	12.6	1.68
Kris Humphries	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	7	-3	14.1	14.6	-0.54	14.7	13.4	1.37
Mike Muscala	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	42.0	14.2	27.76	0.0	13.6	-13.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.	21	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	17	-23	17.2	13.8	3.44	15.4	13.1	2.31
Mike Scott	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.18	-8	19	-27	15.7	14.0	1.76	14.5	13.2	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
CHI 105, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1	92.4%
NJN 93, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.92,1,1,1	92.3%