inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 107 Excitement7.5 [344] MVPPaul Millsap (ATL): +22.6%
Atlanta Hawks 118 Comeback5.7 [369] LVPIsaiah Thomas (BOS): -29.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amir Johnson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.01878%0.1200.002100%0.01
Marcus Smart0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.001273%0.162-0.05250%-0.00
Jae Crowder0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.02-0.021155%0.081-0.03771%-0.00
Tyler Zeller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00160%0.0200.00333%-0.03
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.01-0.00275%0.031-0.02475%0.00
RJ Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011742%-0.0100.00250%-0.03
Evan Turner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.011055%0.073-0.1200%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00729%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.0020%-0.033-0.1100%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.300,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.18,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.13-0.18-0.011938%-0.144-0.15475%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.150.080.012270%0.293-0.0600%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.040.06-0.011262%0.152-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.14-0.000.031573%0.202-0.093100%0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00260%0.0100.001100%0.01
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.010.041372%0.155-0.143100%0.01
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Mike Muscala00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00462%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.021346%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.02217%-0.032-0.07250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.429.214.826.22.430.2129.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +55.7%
ATL +2.4%
BOS -8.5%
BOS -4.7%
ATL +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSATLNBABOSATLNBA
this game13.614.514.9103.9115.7105.1
season13.914.2104.5104.1
opponent15.115.0100.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.913.812.615.413.6
ATL15.914.412.715.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk39390.09-0.590.67-0.3515-264113.413.7-0.3315.214.11.13
Terry Rozier560.07-0.570.64-0.085-162114.013.60.4317.814.33.53
RJ Hunter010.00-0.500.50-0.093-14170.013.6-13.5942.014.227.76
James Young010.00-0.500.50-0.093-14170.013.6-13.5942.014.227.76
Amir Johnson5857-0.03-0.470.43-0.01-1-10912.614.8-2.2214.514.50.04
Avery Bradley7675-0.17-0.330.170.01-6-5-113.713.30.3514.315.1-0.77
Jared Sullinger2424-0.18-0.320.140.08-9-2-713.713.60.1513.214.9-1.65
Tyler Zeller109-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-1-915.513.42.1115.114.50.66
Marcus Smart7571-0.22-0.280.05-0.02-7-4-313.015.3-2.3314.215.1-0.89
Jonas Jerebko2829-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.22-6-5-114.113.40.7115.114.30.78
Evan Turner5352-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.07-121-1314.312.81.4614.914.10.76
Jae Crowder7474-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.06-143-1714.112.21.9814.015.7-1.71
Isaiah Thomas7372-0.550.05-0.61-0.09-165-2113.414.0-0.5813.916.0-2.11

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap84860.59-0.090.680.0020-92914.016.9-2.9613.414.6-1.19
Kyle Korver55570.58-0.080.66-0.1826-154113.515.7-2.1314.212.81.46
Al Horford70720.350.150.200.0892714.315.0-0.6713.214.5-1.37
Dennis Schroder40410.270.230.040.27011-1114.714.40.3113.913.40.56
Kent Bazemore66670.250.250.010.0574314.015.5-1.5312.016.5-4.47
Jeff Teague62630.240.26-0.02-0.081101114.414.7-0.3113.214.2-1.03
Thabo Sefolosha62610.170.33-0.150.32-516-2115.013.71.3314.312.61.68
Kris Humphries17160.120.38-0.260.0047-314.114.6-0.5414.713.41.37
Mike Muscala100.000.50-0.500.09-314-1742.014.227.760.013.6-13.59
Tim Hardaway Jr.2120-0.020.52-0.530.16-617-2317.213.83.4415.413.12.31
Mike Scott3232-0.060.56-0.610.18-819-2715.714.01.7614.513.21.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 95, NYK 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.99,1,1,193.2%
CHI 105, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,192.4%
NJN 93, DET 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.92,1,1,192.3%