NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	6.7 [460]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +17.6%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	6.0 [298]		LVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): -25.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.17	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	16	71%	0.17	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	10	70%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	14	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	15	43%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	10	42%	-0.11	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.08	0.04	13	80%	0.25	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.05
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	0.01	9	92%	0.21	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	17	61%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.03	11	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.12	-0.03	8	23%	-0.20	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	496.2	2.5	29.4	16.4	27.5	2.4	37.5	612.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.3%

NYK +26.6%

CLE -8.9%

CLE -3.9%

NYK +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.6	102.2	112.9	102.3
season	15.8	15.9		102.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	13.2	17.4	16.6	15.7
NYK	14.7	15.6	13.9	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	30	29	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.08	2	-12	14	15.0	16.0	-1.02	14.9	15.5	-0.56
Chris Mihm	17	17	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-16	22	13.8	16.1	-2.35	16.2	15.1	1.17
Wesley Person	70	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-9	8	16.3	13.7	2.65	15.1	15.8	-0.65
Brian Skinner	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-9	8	13.9	16.0	-2.03	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Michael Doleac	7	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-5	0	18.0	15.5	2.50	12.5	15.5	-3.04
Andre Miller	67	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.14	-2	-8	6	16.0	15.0	0.96	16.0	13.6	2.43
Trajan Langdon	26	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	15.0	16.0	-0.96	13.6	16.0	-2.43
Ricky Davis	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	14.7	17.3	-2.64	16.0	14.2	1.82
Lamond Murray	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	0	-10	15.3	16.7	-1.32	14.9	16.5	-1.59
Tyrone Hill	51	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	5	-20	17.2	13.9	3.25	15.9	14.6	1.34
Jumaine Jones	59	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.22	-13	3	-16	16.0	15.1	0.90	15.2	15.5	-0.28

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	49	46	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-4	18	14.5	16.1	-1.58	16.7	14.7	2.08
Mark Jackson	74	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-5	20	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.2	13.4	2.78
Allan Houston	86	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	0	10	15.3	14.6	0.77	15.8	14.3	1.52
Kurt Thomas	73	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-1	12	15.1	15.8	-0.73	16.3	12.9	3.36
Latrell Sprewell	85	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	15.4	13.9	1.54	15.8	14.6	1.21
Othella Harrington	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	8	-6	14.9	15.4	-0.49	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Howard Eisley	19	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	15	-20	14.7	15.4	-0.68	13.4	16.2	-2.78
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	61	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	18	-26	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.3	18.4	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.2%
BOS 104, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.93,1,1,1	93.0%
MIN 91, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.7%