NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	7.6 [283]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +29.6%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	3.4 [366]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -9.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	56%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	56%	0.02	4	-0.10	7	43%	-0.07
Michael Jordan	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	22	54%	0.09	5	-0.19	12	83%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.15	0.03	15	78%	0.32	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	81%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.11	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Mark Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.06	1	-0.06	6	67%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	63%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.6	31.4	17.8	28.0	3.6	52.7	164.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.3%

IND +19.6%

CHI -12.7%

IND +15.1%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	15.7	15.6	120.7	121.6	102.5
season	16.2	16.0		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.8		99.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	15.2	18.8	17.4	17.2
IND	15.5	15.5	17.2	14.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	48	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.28	13	-15	28	15.9	18.9	-3.00	16.2	15.0	1.20
Bill Wennington	21	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	16.8	17.4	-0.57	16.5	15.4	1.12
Jud Buechler	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	0.0	17.2	-17.24	0.0	15.9	-15.86
Randy Brown	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	17.1	17.3	-0.19	16.2	15.6	0.63
Scott Burrell	15	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-2	2	18.8	16.9	1.88	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Ron Harper	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	8	-18	16.9	17.7	-0.76	14.7	17.3	-2.63
Steve Kerr	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	18.1	16.8	1.24	16.3	15.4	0.94
Michael Jordan	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	17.1	18.7	-1.60	15.9	14.1	1.75
Toni Kukoc	42	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	16.8	17.7	-0.88	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Scottie Pippen	65	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	4	-10	17.6	16.2	1.36	15.7	15.6	0.06
Dennis Rodman	69	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	14	-30	18.0	14.4	3.60	16.3	13.1	3.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	49	49	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	1	0	15.7	15.7	-0.06	17.3	17.2	0.15
Travis Best	46	44	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.55	-1	3	-4	15.5	15.9	-0.38	17.5	17.0	0.43
Jalen Rose	52	51	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	2	-2	15.0	16.7	-1.76	17.2	17.3	-0.06
Reggie Miller	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	3	-4	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.4	19.7	-3.28
Rik Smits	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	0	2	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.5	18.3	-1.75
Derrick McKey	40	38	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	7	-12	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.7	16.9	0.79
Dale Davis	51	49	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-4	10	16.5	14.5	2.02	18.1	16.2	1.88
Chris Mullin	36	36	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.12	6	-4	10	16.9	14.8	2.04	17.5	17.1	0.39
Mark Jackson	42	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	-1	4	15.9	15.5	0.38	17.0	17.5	-0.43
Mark Pope	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	3	-4	14.4	15.8	-1.38	20.0	16.9	3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.9%
PHX 79, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%
BOS 107, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.4%