NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	79		Excitement	6.5 [500]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +28.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	4.0 [410]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -27.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Alton Ford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dan Majerle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	8	61%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	18	40%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	0.00	10	41%	-0.04	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	0.00	26	36%	-0.16	3	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.15	0.01	12	81%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	55%	0.02	1	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	16	52%	0.05	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	14	44%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	12	44%	0.01	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	52.0	1.0	24.3	15.7	25.4	2.3	31.6	152.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +47.5%

SEA +6.2%

PHX -7.4%

SEA +2.3%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.6	15.6	84.0	95.7	102.3
season	15.1	16.0		101.0	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	16.0	14.5	15.1	15.0
SEA	15.3	15.3	16.2	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-16	21	16.5	14.6	1.96	16.1	15.4	0.65
Alton Ford	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	8.0	15.1	-7.12	28.0	15.5	12.54
Jake Tsakalidis	86	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	15.0	15.6	-0.64	15.4	17.6	-2.24
John Wallace	38	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-12	13	16.3	14.2	2.09	16.4	15.1	1.25
Stephon Marbury	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-2	-7	14.8	16.1	-1.22	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Anfernee Hardaway	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	14.9	15.5	-0.54	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Bo Outlaw	46	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	2	-15	14.6	15.5	-0.89	15.8	15.4	0.43
Tony Delk	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-5	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.59	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Shawn Marion	81	81	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.13	-19	8	-27	14.9	15.9	-1.02	15.7	14.8	0.87

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	32	31	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	0	11	16.2	15.3	0.99	15.7	14.7	0.95
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	0	11	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.3	14.9	0.41
Vin Baker	75	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-1	13	15.4	16.5	-1.10	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Desmond Mason	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	8	-5	16.2	14.8	1.39	15.9	13.8	2.13
Brent Barry	84	84	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	8	-5	15.4	17.2	-1.80	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Jerome James	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	5	1	15.9	15.4	0.46	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Gary Payton	67	67	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	5	1	15.3	16.4	-1.09	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Rashard Lewis	70	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	6	-1	15.6	15.5	0.07	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Predrag Drobnjak	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	15.6	15.6	0.03	15.2	15.0	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.1%
CHI 105, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	92.5%