NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	6.5 [487]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +21.4%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.4 [626]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -13.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	60%	0.10	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	17	56%	0.13	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	13	59%	0.08	7	-0.18	8	75%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.00	20	69%	0.29	3	-0.07	11	100%	0.08
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	10	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	6	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	16	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	27.1	15.3	24.0	1.7	31.3	124.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +11.6%

NJN +3.0%

LAC -7.9%

NJN +33.2%

NJN +10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	92.9	109.3	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		100.2	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		96.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.1	12.9	17.0	16.5	14.8
NJN	13.5	17.9	13.0	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-21	28	14.3	15.0	-0.66	15.7	14.1	1.54
Sean Rooks	31	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-21	28	12.8	15.7	-2.91	16.7	13.7	3.06
Eric Piatkowski	56	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	-3	-8	14.2	15.6	-1.33	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Quentin Richardson	28	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-13	12	13.5	15.3	-1.82	16.5	13.9	2.57
Keyon Dooling	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-14	14	15.9	14.1	1.80	15.6	13.9	1.74
Corey Maggette	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	0	-14	15.3	13.9	1.38	13.5	17.2	-3.75
Michael Olowokandi	79	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	5	-24	15.7	11.3	4.40	14.5	14.9	-0.47
Elton Brand	88	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.10	-16	2	-18	14.7	15.5	-0.83	14.0	20.7	-6.71
Andre Miller	78	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.04	-23	9	-32	14.9	14.3	0.60	14.2	15.8	-1.55

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	87	88	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.02	22	-8	30	13.9	20.9	-7.05	15.1	12.3	2.85
Richard Jefferson	40	40	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.02	21	-7	28	14.3	14.8	-0.47	17.0	13.3	3.76
Kenyon Martin	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-3	20	13.9	16.8	-2.95	15.0	14.2	0.77
Lucious Harris	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	9	-4	14.8	14.4	0.47	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Dikembe Mutombo	59	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	2	10	14.4	14.9	-0.52	14.9	14.6	0.36
Kerry Kittles	71	72	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	4	6	13.9	16.3	-2.36	15.3	13.6	1.67
Jason Collins	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	18	-22	15.3	14.1	1.21	15.2	14.6	0.69
Rodney Rogers	45	48	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	18	-22	15.7	13.6	2.07	13.0	16.5	-3.59
Brian Scalabrine	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	12	-10	21.0	14.5	6.49	3.0	14.9	-11.93
Tamar Slay	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	19	-24	22.0	14.1	7.91	9.2	15.2	-6.01
Aaron Williams	19	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	20	-26	16.8	14.0	2.82	12.4	15.4	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 93, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,1	92.9%
IND 82, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%