inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 95 Excitement3.9 [1023] MVPWendell Carter Jr. (ORL): +12.4%
Miami Heat 121 Comeback1.0 [966] LVPFranz Wagner (ORL): -17.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.01975%0.1200.00250%-0.01
Joe Ingles0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.054112%0.0600.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02654%0.0500.001100%0.00
Paolo Banchero0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.011652%0.072-0.041267%-0.00
Markelle Fultz0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.011059%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Jonathan Isaac0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.03275%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Goga Bitadze0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chuma Okeke0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Black0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Suggs-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.02721%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Moritz Wagner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00430%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Cole Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.03367%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Franz Wagner-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.17-0.02-0.011541%-0.047-0.142100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.04793%0.0900.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.01978%0.133-0.0500%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.02977%0.135-0.051275%-0.01
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.031267%0.101-0.03367%-0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02961%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.051148%0.062-0.023100%0.01
Tyler Herro0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.001354%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.04764%0.0200.0000%0.00
Haywood Highsmith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01939%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.829.015.030.01.822.3128.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +29.5%
MIA +1.2%
MIA +8.1%
MIA +10.9%
MIA +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.214.314.597.9123.5113.9
season15.114.9111.8112.3
opponent14.814.4111.0109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.515.315.216.015.2
MIA13.714.113.116.714.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goga Bitadze660.00-0.500.500.06-2-242217.515.12.4213.714.4-0.69
Chuma Okeke660.00-0.500.500.06-2-242217.515.12.4213.714.4-0.69
Anthony Black660.00-0.500.500.06-2-242217.515.12.4213.714.4-0.69
Caleb Houstan660.00-0.500.500.06-2-242217.515.12.4213.714.4-0.69
Joe Ingles3030-0.06-0.440.37-0.091-272814.715.4-0.7114.814.10.70
Moritz Wagner3132-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-221814.415.6-1.2816.213.42.82
Cole Anthony2425-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-252416.614.81.8616.613.53.07
Markelle Fultz5758-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-17814.116.8-2.6314.713.80.91
Jalen Suggs5758-0.19-0.310.120.08-9-17814.915.7-0.8513.915.0-1.11
Jonathan Isaac2121-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-8-1016.314.91.4112.214.9-2.65
Gary Harris3939-0.32-0.18-0.140.18-17-9-815.714.90.7814.414.30.07
Paolo Banchero7374-0.36-0.14-0.220.32-23-3-2014.816.6-1.8613.417.2-3.77
Wendell Carter Jr.5857-0.41-0.08-0.330.23-22-4-1815.714.61.1113.715.2-1.55
Franz Wagner7172-0.44-0.06-0.380.15-20-6-1415.315.20.1014.813.01.84

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo59610.54-0.040.57-0.4032-63813.914.9-1.0516.213.62.66
Tyler Herro55560.460.040.42-0.192241813.016.0-3.0015.914.31.66
Terry Rozier64650.350.150.19-0.272151613.615.6-1.9915.714.31.41
Caleb Martin55540.290.210.09-0.121412212.916.1-3.2514.815.8-0.97
Jimmy Butler70690.290.210.08-0.031115-415.611.14.4414.417.4-2.99
Jaime Jaquez Jr.46460.260.240.010.02818-1014.314.30.0215.914.61.26
Josh Richardson54530.210.29-0.08-0.261610614.813.71.0715.315.10.25
Duncan Robinson42400.140.36-0.21-0.151016-616.312.83.4914.315.8-1.49
Haywood Highsmith650.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2213.714.4-0.6917.615.12.50
Orlando Robinson660.000.50-0.50-0.06224-2213.714.4-0.6917.515.12.42
Kevin Love3330-0.040.54-0.570.20-834-4215.213.91.3012.816.3-3.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 91, WAS 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DET 79, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
NJN 65, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,195.2%