inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 91 Excitement3.7 [1085] MVPA.J. Price (WAS): +11.3%
Washington Wizards 120 Comeback1.0 [908] LVPArron Afflalo (ORL): -11.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Davis0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.00872%0.091-0.02250%-0.02
JJ Redick0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.000.01867%0.0600.002100%0.01
Josh McRoberts0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.01450%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Nikola Vucevic0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011059%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.01-0.05837%-0.0110.0100%0.00
E'Twaun Moore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02538%-0.0010.003100%-0.00
DeQuan Jones-0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01560%-0.0020.0000%0.00
Ish Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.07425%-0.023-0.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01450%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.011750%0.084-0.104100%0.01
Arron Afflalo-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.14-0.01-0.04119%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.J. Price0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.020.02975%0.141-0.03683%0.01
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.10-0.000.021363%0.101-0.02475%-0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021077%0.112-0.042100%0.01
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01762%0.0600.0020%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00389%0.072-0.033100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00764%0.051-0.0200%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01855%0.042-0.026100%0.03
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04570%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.010.041556%-0.012-0.002100%-0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.726.815.725.22.427.6124.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +20.6%
WAS +15.8%
WAS +10.9%
WAS +0.1%
WAS +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game16.913.415.495.8126.3104.1
season15.515.1100.398.8
opponent15.715.3101.2107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL19.416.416.415.716.9
WAS11.912.414.215.013.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts28280.01-0.510.520.13-4-252115.517.5-2.0012.313.8-1.48
JJ Redick4240-0.07-0.430.360.14-7-221517.416.60.7313.113.5-0.38
Kyle O'Quinn1615-0.08-0.420.340.24-11-18715.717.2-1.4413.313.4-0.04
E'Twaun Moore2930-0.12-0.380.270.26-13-16316.917.0-0.0214.812.72.14
Maurice Harkless2119-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-19916.217.1-0.9115.212.92.30
Ish Smith2828-0.20-0.300.110.33-18-11-716.717.0-0.3313.713.20.44
Andrew Nicholson3231-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-15117.716.51.2112.713.7-0.98
Nikola Vucevic6466-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-221517.316.21.1213.513.00.48
Jameer Nelson6767-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-18717.016.70.3313.213.7-0.44
DeQuan Jones4142-0.32-0.18-0.130.21-18-11-715.917.7-1.8013.113.5-0.40
Arron Afflalo7476-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-10-917.116.20.9112.915.2-2.30
Glen Davis3333-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-13-16318.016.41.6113.813.10.69

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Price56550.480.020.46-0.342812713.313.4-0.0716.817.1-0.31
Jan Vesely47480.390.110.27-0.462902914.212.61.6316.817.1-0.27
Kevin Seraphin53550.360.140.22-0.402632314.112.41.6817.516.11.42
Martell Webster36370.360.140.210.001217-514.013.01.0617.516.60.93
Bradley Beal60600.270.230.040.01920-1112.814.4-1.5916.917.0-0.08
Emeka Okafor56550.240.26-0.020.06623-1712.514.6-2.0716.916.9-0.00
Garrett Temple35350.230.27-0.04-0.362091114.412.81.5917.016.90.08
Trevor Ariza51510.140.36-0.21-0.331613312.614.3-1.7316.817.2-0.39
John Wall39400.020.48-0.46-0.01128-2713.413.30.0717.116.80.31
Nene34320.020.48-0.470.10-332-3512.513.9-1.4016.117.4-1.24
Chris Singleton870.000.50-0.50-0.03128-2715.513.22.3315.317.1-1.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 111, ATL 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
MEM 82, HOU 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,195.9%
PHI 88, LAL 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%