NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	111		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Al Harrington (ATL): +27.0%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	1.0 [1299]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -8.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.23	0.01	0.07	9	110%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	68%	0.15	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Qyntel Woods	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	16	44%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.24	0.03	0.01	19	83%	0.34	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.01	0.02	18	88%	0.30	4	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.07	4	50%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	10	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	30.3	15.7	26.1	2.5	37.2	141.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +49.4%

ATL +2.6%

NYK -5.4%

ATL +4.6%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.6	116.8	131.2	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.0	15.9	15.2	16.6	14.8
ATL	16.3	16.1	16.9	14.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackie Butler	6	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.07	5	-16	21	11.5	15.0	-3.54	14.2	15.9	-1.78
Nate Robinson	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-16	21	14.6	14.9	-0.21	12.9	16.4	-3.49
Malik Rose	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-14	17	15.3	14.5	0.78	15.3	16.1	-0.86
Qyntel Woods	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-6	1	16.4	13.8	2.60	16.1	15.6	0.47
Antonio Davis	27	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-6	1	16.2	14.3	1.96	15.4	16.0	-0.53
Jerome James	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-2	-7	12.9	15.7	-2.82	16.8	15.4	1.42
Trevor Ariza	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.13	-3	-8	5	13.2	16.0	-2.80	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Maurice Taylor	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-1	-9	15.3	14.6	0.74	16.2	15.6	0.50
Jamal Crawford	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	15.7	13.5	2.25	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Channing Frye	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	14.9	14.6	0.28	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	56	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	14.0	16.0	-1.96	16.6	14.8	1.85
Stephon Marbury	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	5	-21	14.9	14.6	0.21	16.4	12.9	3.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-7	25	17.1	14.0	3.15	15.1	14.4	0.68
Al Harrington	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-4	19	16.0	15.5	0.53	15.2	14.0	1.23
Joe Johnson	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	0	11	15.8	15.9	-0.08	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Marvin Williams	55	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	7	-3	15.5	16.3	-0.78	14.9	14.7	0.20
Josh Smith	56	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	8	-5	15.5	16.3	-0.73	14.1	16.1	-2.03
Tyronn Lue	31	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	5	1	18.6	14.5	4.13	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Royal Ivey	17	19	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	2	7	13.7	16.3	-2.60	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Josh Childress	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	13	-15	15.3	16.6	-1.36	15.8	13.5	2.33
Salim Stoudamire	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	12	-13	14.7	16.6	-1.89	17.2	13.4	3.82
John Edwards	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	15	-19	13.3	16.3	-2.99	12.3	15.2	-2.91
John Thomas	11	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	15	-19	16.9	15.7	1.23	10.9	15.4	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 82, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
OKC 106, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%