inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Excitement3.5 [882] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +15.6%
Miami Heat 121 Comeback1.1 [769] LVPKendrick Perkins (OKC): -5.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.090.010.05779%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.020.042463%0.117-0.093100%0.00
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01941%-0.0200.00475%0.01
James Harden-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.060.000.091168%0.023-0.046100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.01-0.052036%0.002-0.051385%0.02
Kendrick Perkins-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.180.020.041473%0.1600.005100%0.02
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.230.000.091196%0.1400.002100%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.01869%0.0910.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.01-0.051955%0.126-0.06989%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.03671%0.094-0.062100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.010.071261%0.041-0.02967%-0.02
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrel Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02075%0.0000.00475%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.84.337.016.735.31.833.2160.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.0%
OKC -2.9%
OKC -7.2%
MIA +5.6%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game13.016.915.6109.3126.0102.8
season14.715.5107.9105.6
opponent15.815.898.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.813.511.811.913.0
MIA15.217.216.618.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Royal Ivey670.00-0.500.50-0.217-22299.013.2-4.2316.416.9-0.50
Daequan Cook9100.00-0.500.50-0.238-23319.913.3-3.4018.816.72.13
Lazar Hayward9100.00-0.500.50-0.238-23319.913.3-3.4018.816.72.13
Cole Aldrich9100.00-0.500.50-0.238-23319.913.3-3.4018.816.72.13
Nick Collison3634-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-182112.113.5-1.3617.016.80.21
Thabo Sefolosha1819-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-10515.512.43.1115.417.3-1.84
Derek Fisher5957-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-141311.914.7-2.8217.216.40.86
James Harden7370-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-172-1912.713.9-1.2017.315.71.65
Kendrick Perkins3940-0.40-0.10-0.310.01-14-1-1314.611.92.6716.417.2-0.85
Serge Ibaka5151-0.45-0.05-0.400.31-2611-3714.211.62.5516.417.4-0.99
Kevin Durant8886-0.500.00-0.500.17-238-3113.39.93.4016.718.8-2.13
Russell Westbrook8886-0.500.00-0.500.17-238-3113.39.93.4016.718.8-2.13

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh67710.55-0.050.60-0.3029-144316.717.4-0.6913.511.61.85
Dwyane Wade69700.480.020.45-0.2625-103516.717.5-0.8713.611.22.42
Mario Chalmers66690.460.040.42-0.2725-103516.717.2-0.4913.412.01.36
LeBron James87900.430.070.37-0.1520-52517.015.81.2313.210.62.58
Shane Battier55560.400.100.310.1787116.817.0-0.1814.311.13.16
Mike Miller48480.230.27-0.04-0.181411316.916.9-0.0812.213.7-1.55
Norris Cole37350.040.46-0.420.39-1227-3917.316.60.6511.413.9-2.50
Juwan Howard760.000.50-0.500.21-722-2916.416.9-0.509.013.2-4.23
Ronny Turiaf760.000.50-0.500.21-722-2916.416.9-0.509.013.2-4.23
Terrel Harris760.000.50-0.500.21-722-2916.416.9-0.509.013.2-4.23
James Jones88-0.040.54-0.580.14-621-2718.716.72.029.913.2-3.37
Udonis Haslem2220-0.050.55-0.600.16-722-2917.716.71.0212.413.1-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 64, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
NYK 111, ATL 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
POR 96, SAS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%