NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	3.4 [1090]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +11.1%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.1 [969]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -10.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	-0.11	12	39%	0.00	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mike Batiste	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	9	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	17	72%	0.11	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terence Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	60%	0.06	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tito Maddox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	28.2	15.8	26.1	2.4	28.4	125.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +29.5%

HOU +0.0%

HOU +21.0%

MEM -4.5%

HOU +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.3	15.5	90.1	97.9	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		101.8	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	13.0	15.4	16.0	14.6
HOU	14.5	15.8	15.9	19.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Batiste	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.17	2	-13	15	15.1	14.3	0.85	14.8	17.3	-2.53
Earl Watson	48	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-13	15	15.0	14.2	0.79	15.9	16.8	-0.98
Lorenzen Wright	57	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.45	9	-20	29	14.5	14.7	-0.21	18.0	13.3	4.68
Stromile Swift	46	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	1	-13	14.4	14.8	-0.34	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Wesley Person	47	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	2	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.21	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Shane Battier	69	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-6	1	15.1	13.0	2.12	16.6	15.5	1.02
Mike Miller	66	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	14.5	14.9	-0.44	16.6	15.7	0.88
Jason Williams	43	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	2	-15	14.2	15.0	-0.79	16.8	15.9	0.98
Pau Gasol	42	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	10	-31	14.5	14.7	-0.28	16.7	16.0	0.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	60	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-6	23	17.0	15.2	1.74	15.1	13.7	1.47
Cuttino Mobley	82	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	4	3	16.1	17.5	-1.32	14.3	16.5	-2.10
Moochie Norris	79	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	16.7	14.7	1.97	15.0	13.2	1.79
James Posey	44	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	0	11	15.0	17.5	-2.47	14.6	14.6	0.07
Yao Ming	65	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	17.2	14.5	2.62	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Kelvin Cato	30	30	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	14.5	17.2	-2.62	15.1	14.4	0.69
Glen Rice	51	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	11	-11	17.5	15.0	2.47	14.6	14.6	-0.07
Tito Maddox	22	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	11	-11	14.7	16.8	-2.08	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Maurice Taylor	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	15.2	16.9	-1.73	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Juaquin Hawkins	7	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	7	-3	19.7	16.1	3.66	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Terence Morris	4	3	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	14	-17	15.7	16.4	-0.60	9.0	14.8	-5.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	96.0%
ORL 91, WAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NYK 111, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%