NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	7.0 [440]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +22.1%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	3.6 [269]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.15	0.04	13	65%	0.26	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	-0.00	10	76%	0.33	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	3	91%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	19	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	120%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rui Hachimura	0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Christian Wood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.02	22	59%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	42%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	9	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.07	0.06	31	53%	0.06	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	28.1	15.4	29.3	2.6	37.4	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +74.7%

NYK -0.2%

NYK -29.2%

LAL +6.1%

NYK -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	17.0	14.5	121.5	112.9	113.9
season	14.1	15.6		114.4	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.0	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.5	14.6	14.5	14.5	14.0
NYK	15.8	16.7	17.4	18.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	50	50	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-4	16	13.9	14.0	-0.08	17.5	16.5	1.01
LeBron James	76	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-3	14	14.0	13.6	0.38	17.7	13.7	3.94
Austin Reaves	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	14.2	13.1	1.12	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Taurean Prince	61	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	1	6	14.0	13.8	0.22	17.1	16.7	0.41
Anthony Davis	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	2	4	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.5	18.8	-2.31
Rui Hachimura	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	5	-2	13.4	14.3	-0.90	17.0	17.0	-0.06
Jaxson Hayes	22	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	7	-6	14.8	13.7	1.07	18.3	16.6	1.73
Christian Wood	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	10	-12	13.5	14.0	-0.51	13.9	17.6	-3.71
D'Angelo Russell	54	55	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	14	-20	14.0	13.9	0.06	16.5	17.7	-1.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Flynn	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	18.6	16.9	1.69	13.5	14.0	-0.49
Donte DiVincenzo	78	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-9	10	16.7	18.9	-2.21	14.0	13.7	0.29
Isaiah Hartenstein	63	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-5	2	16.1	18.9	-2.79	14.3	13.2	1.01
Miles McBride	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-5	2	15.9	17.8	-1.86	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Jericho Sims	30	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	18.9	16.1	2.79	13.2	14.3	-1.01
Jalen Brunson	86	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	16.9	18.6	-1.69	14.0	13.5	0.49
Precious Achiuwa	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	17.7	12.8	4.84	14.4	11.3	3.14
Josh Hart	81	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.33	-12	4	-16	17.2	15.7	1.54	13.9	14.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.31,0.1,0.09,0.1,0	92.8%
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.6%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	92.5%