inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement7.6 [338] MVPChet Holmgren (OKC): +29.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback3.5 [527] LVPJosh Giddey (OKC): -22.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.130,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.130.050.090.011453%0.1300.002100%0.05
Christian Braun0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.01771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.00383%0.0700.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.011744%0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.021257%0.051-0.034100%0.02
Aaron Gordon-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.040.000.011642%-0.031-0.02617%-0.07
Peyton Watson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001041%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Zeke Nnaji-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00425%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.070.001050%0.033-0.142100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.30.300.060.21-0.021364%0.332-0.04250%-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.140.140.120.070.042260%0.232-0.091392%0.04
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.09-0.000.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.04-0.02736%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01675%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01857%0.092-0.06560%-0.01
Davis Bertans00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.08-0.011130%-0.111-0.0210%-0.01
Josh Giddey0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.14-0.011131%-0.172-0.054100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.330.614.524.52.337.5136.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +15.3%
OKC +8.8%
OKC +30.2%
DEN -5.0%
OKC +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game15.014.714.5103.1108.2113.9
season15.013.9116.8117.2
opponent14.714.5109.5111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.416.216.412.815.0
OKC15.613.113.616.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Peyton Watson40420.29-0.791.09-0.0913-183115.214.80.3515.913.92.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope72730.14-0.640.78-0.2413-183115.015.0-0.0414.814.40.46
Aaron Gordon7779-0.03-0.470.45-0.237-121914.915.3-0.4214.814.20.68
Justin Holiday2322-0.19-0.310.120.02-72-914.915.0-0.1314.414.8-0.46
Jamal Murray7779-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.351-6714.915.3-0.4214.814.40.41
Christian Braun3434-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-127-1914.615.2-0.5914.514.8-0.34
Zeke Nnaji2018-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.12-127-1915.314.90.4214.214.8-0.68
Reggie Jackson6159-0.670.17-0.84-0.32-127-1915.114.70.4814.015.8-1.84
Michael Porter Jr.8179-0.900.40-1.30-0.43-1611-2715.014.70.2614.714.9-0.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chet Holmgren65660.67-0.170.850.2913-82114.814.70.1015.014.80.19
Vasilije Micic31310.52-0.020.530.1114-92315.914.21.7416.314.31.94
Luguentz Dort75730.450.050.390.3632114.714.9-0.2414.915.1-0.21
Kenrich Williams35320.370.130.250.206-1715.214.50.7515.914.51.45
Cason Wallace38400.240.26-0.020.2405-515.214.40.7615.214.80.48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander73740.200.30-0.100.23-16-714.017.0-3.0314.815.4-0.61
Aaron Wiggins53520.140.36-0.220.20-27-915.014.40.6613.616.6-3.00
Josh Giddey53520.100.40-0.300.16-27-914.515.0-0.5114.915.1-0.18
Ousmane Dieng16170.100.40-0.300.0132115.614.61.0115.414.90.54
Davis Bertans11-0.020.52-0.55-0.0205-56.014.8-8.812.015.1-13.10
Lindy Waters III910-0.110.61-0.730.00-49-1314.614.7-0.1813.515.1-1.64
Jaylin Williams3637-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-510-1514.115.1-0.9315.614.61.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.85,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 103, DEN 1120.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,192.3%
MIN 95, POR 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,192.2%
CHA 96, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,1,0.98,1,192.0%