NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	6.3 [532]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (NJN): +10.0%
New Jersey Nets	102		Comeback	3.8 [425]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -15.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	8	81%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	15	62%	0.13	5	-0.17	10	90%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	0.05	-0.09	0.06	28	52%	0.04	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	12	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	19	58%	0.12	4	-0.11	14	71%	-0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.05	0.05	27	46%	-0.04	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	29.4	15.4	28.2	0.8	30.6	134.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +15.7%

CHA -10.7%

NJN +11.1%

NJN +31.8%

NJN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NJN	NBA	CHA	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	14.6	15.4	95.0	101.0	105.7
season	15.8	15.4		103.1	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	16.5	14.0	12.1	13.9
NJN	16.1	14.8	13.2	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	20.0	13.7	6.34	9.3	14.8	-5.43
Matt Carroll	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-6	6	14.6	13.4	1.22	14.4	14.7	-0.34
Emeka Okafor	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-8	10	13.2	16.0	-2.72	14.7	14.2	0.52
Derek Anderson	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	0	-6	18.7	13.1	5.59	14.9	14.5	0.39
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	15.7	13.1	2.59	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Jason Richardson	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	13.5	16.1	-2.65	14.5	15.2	-0.76
Raymond Felton	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-3	0	13.5	15.5	-1.92	14.6	14.4	0.23
Jeff McInnis	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	13.5	15.6	-2.11	14.7	14.1	0.68
Gerald Wallace	92	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	0	-6	13.6	17.0	-3.39	14.7	13.4	1.33

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	14.5	14.7	-0.26	14.1	13.8	0.36
Vince Carter	85	84	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	14.4	15.7	-1.36	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Richard Jefferson	88	88	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	14.6	14.3	0.34	13.6	15.8	-2.22
Jason Collins	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	-1	8	15.7	13.9	1.78	14.6	13.4	1.25
Bostjan Nachbar	43	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	-3	12	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.4	12.7	2.68
Jason Kidd	85	85	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	6	-6	14.3	16.1	-1.81	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Josh Boone	60	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	13.9	15.7	-1.78	13.4	14.6	-1.25
Sean Williams	44	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	14.8	14.4	0.42	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Malik Allen	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	10	-14	16.2	14.3	1.96	15.4	13.6	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.5%
TOR 80, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	92.9%
DAL 103, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%