inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 103 Excitement6.7 [530] MVPHarrison Barnes (DAL): +17.0%
Los Angeles Lakers 114 Comeback4.5 [469] LVPLuka Doncic (DAL): -22.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.170,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.02-0.001767%0.201-0.03978%-0.00
Dwight Powell0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.090.03965%0.171-0.04887%0.07
Wesley Matthews0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01769%0.071-0.02250%-0.02
Devin Harris0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.00440%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Salah Mejri0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Brunson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01133%-0.0000.00450%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
J.J. Barea-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00940%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
DeAndre Jordan-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01567%0.003-0.052100%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02550%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.060.011443%0.015-0.192100%0.02
Luka Doncic-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.19-0.05-0.021321%-0.173-0.06367%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.050.016100%0.1600.001100%0.00
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.07-0.02550%0.1000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.060.032161%0.154-0.07450%-0.02
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.020.06-0.031248%0.122-0.06757%-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01754%0.0100.001080%0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.001647%0.042-0.06862%-0.02
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.04-0.02950%0.035-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.628.414.429.52.540.4143.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +44.3%
DAL -10.7%
LAL +12.0%
DAL -0.3%
LAL +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLALNBADALLALNBA
this game14.412.314.394.5107.5109.3
season14.713.5108.5107.2
opponent14.214.1108.7109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL11.517.715.014.014.4
LAL12.510.412.114.212.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Brunson560.00-0.500.50-0.217-18258.614.7-6.1217.012.04.96
Salah Mejri560.00-0.500.50-0.217-18258.614.7-6.1217.012.04.96
Ryan Broekhoff77-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-14179.714.8-5.0516.912.04.86
Dennis Smith Jr.6362-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-7314.214.8-0.6712.512.00.47
Harrison Barnes7776-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-5-114.314.7-0.3512.412.20.17
Luka Doncic7270-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-3-514.414.5-0.1512.112.7-0.57
DeAndre Jordan6767-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-6114.913.71.1412.212.5-0.22
Dorian Finney-Smith5351-0.23-0.270.04-0.261-121313.715.2-1.5212.811.90.89
Dwight Powell4038-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-9713.814.8-1.0112.412.30.07
Wesley Matthews6864-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-121-1315.313.02.2312.012.9-0.89
J.J. Barea4138-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-143-1715.613.71.8411.312.9-1.65
Devin Harris4745-0.640.14-0.790.00-2211-3315.613.62.0311.313.1-1.83

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Ingram89900.53-0.030.570.2792712.89.63.1813.717.9-4.25
Tyson Chandler45470.51-0.010.520.1313-21512.112.5-0.3615.513.71.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope53560.490.010.470.19101912.512.20.2614.314.5-0.21
Kyle Kuzma81820.480.020.460.1013-21512.611.51.1014.314.8-0.45
Josh Hart50520.470.030.450.18101912.212.4-0.1514.414.5-0.11
LeBron James69730.090.41-0.32-0.20101912.312.4-0.0514.813.61.24
Lance Stephenson13140.060.44-0.39-0.0338-59.512.7-3.1715.114.30.72
Svi Mykhailiuk540.000.50-0.500.09-314-1716.612.14.499.014.6-5.65
Moritz Wagner320.000.50-0.500.06-213-1515.312.23.107.014.6-7.58
Michael Beasley1111-0.010.51-0.53-0.04110-910.412.5-2.1814.114.5-0.39
JaVale McGee4848-0.030.53-0.550.06-314-1712.212.4-0.2814.614.30.37
Lonzo Ball6366-0.090.59-0.680.09-617-2311.912.9-0.9514.913.81.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 93, GSW 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,193.2%
TOR 80, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1,193.1%
CHA 96, NJN 1020.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,1,0.98,1,192.9%