NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	80		Excitement	5.9 [595]		MVP	Todd MacCulloch (PHI): +9.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	3.9 [777]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -27.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jelani McCoy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	16	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jermaine Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	6	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	16	63%	0.05	6	-0.17	11	82%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	19	31%	-0.19	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.20	-0.08	0.00	18	25%	-0.15	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Efthimios Rentzias	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.14	0.07	-0.07	28	46%	0.06	5	-0.06	11	64%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	27.6	17.4	26.8	0.8	39.2	141.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.8%

PHI +0.2%

TOR -12.3%

PHI +20.6%

TOR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	17.3	14.2	15.5	87.0	98.9	101.6
season	16.2	15.3		98.8	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.5	18.7	20.5	16.7	17.3
PHI	16.5	13.1	12.9	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Foster	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.02	4	-14	18	14.2	17.7	-3.52	15.3	14.0	1.25
Michael Bradley	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	0	-10	18.2	17.0	1.17	12.0	14.7	-2.75
Jerome Williams	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-10	10	17.5	16.8	0.66	14.8	12.9	1.93
Antonio Davis	79	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-8	6	17.0	19.0	-2.00	14.7	11.2	3.53
Morris Peterson	79	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-11	12	17.1	18.2	-1.10	14.6	11.2	3.37
Jermaine Jackson	35	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	2	-14	17.5	17.1	0.37	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Alvin Williams	83	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	17.2	17.9	-0.67	14.5	11.6	2.89
Jelani McCoy	12	12	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	2	-14	19.4	17.0	2.45	10.2	14.8	-4.62
Voshon Lenard	79	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	17.4	16.5	0.87	13.8	16.8	-3.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	33	33	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-2	14	13.1	14.8	-1.70	17.6	17.1	0.50
Brian Skinner	40	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	8	-6	14.5	13.9	0.58	16.8	17.6	-0.82
Allen Iverson	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	4	2	14.2	13.9	0.30	16.8	20.8	-4.02
Greg Buckner	52	54	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	-2	14	13.4	15.2	-1.76	17.8	16.5	1.33
Aaron McKie	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-4	18	14.1	14.3	-0.17	17.5	16.9	0.61
Eric Snow	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	10	-10	14.7	10.9	3.79	17.1	18.6	-1.52
Art Long	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	3	4	12.3	14.6	-2.30	18.4	17.0	1.44
Keith Van Horn	56	58	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	15.1	12.8	2.28	17.1	17.7	-0.62
Efthimios Rentzias	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	7.5	14.3	-6.83	20.0	17.3	2.75
John Salmons	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	7.5	14.3	-6.83	20.0	17.3	2.75
Todd MacCulloch	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	11	-12	15.2	13.7	1.53	17.6	17.1	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 96, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
MIN 95, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.2%
DAL 103, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%