NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	8.5 [206]		MVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): +32.3%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	14.2 [79]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -6.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bilal Coulibaly	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.12	0.20	-0.00	6	100%	0.34	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.14,0.12	-0.00	0.14	0.01	16	47%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	18	45%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Bagley III	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	5	-0.14	6	83%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.02	0.05	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
Jordan Poole	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	50%	0.13	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	-0.04	0.00	12	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.02	19	52%	0.18	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	64%	0.13	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	19	55%	0.16	5	-0.19	6	83%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	28.2	15.4	30.6	2.3	27.9	130.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +56.9%

SAS -6.7%

WAS +3.8%

SAS -4.9%

WAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.5	118.0	110.8	113.9
season	13.7	13.9		109.8	108.6
opponent	14.3	14.1		115.2	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	12.0	11.9	15.0	13.3
SAS	13.0	16.2	14.2	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	61	63	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.45	13	-8	21	12.8	14.0	-1.19	16.2	13.5	2.73
Jordan Poole	68	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	0	5	13.5	12.9	0.63	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Kyle Kuzma	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.47	3	2	1	14.2	11.6	2.66	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Tyus Jones	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	0	5	13.8	12.2	1.68	14.4	16.9	-2.49
Daniel Gafford	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	2	1	14.3	11.9	2.36	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Delon Wright	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	0	5	12.8	13.4	-0.57	17.5	14.7	2.80
Landry Shamet	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.13	5	0	5	12.3	13.6	-1.28	17.2	14.7	2.57
Marvin Bagley III	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	3	-1	11.9	14.3	-2.36	15.8	14.8	0.99
Corey Kispert	44	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	8	-11	12.4	14.0	-1.67	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Deni Avdija	54	56	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.06	-13	18	-31	13.1	13.5	-0.45	14.6	16.0	-1.42

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	31	31	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.01	10	-15	25	13.5	16.0	-2.51	13.0	13.4	-0.39
Julian Champagnie	46	45	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	13.0	17.0	-4.00	13.7	13.0	0.71
Blake Wesley	27	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	15.5	15.1	0.39	11.1	14.1	-3.00
Doug McDermott	21	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	0	-5	18.2	14.4	3.77	11.2	13.9	-2.67
Jeremy Sochan	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.16	13.9	12.6	1.23
Cedi Osman	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.1	0.09	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Keldon Johnson	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	16.3	13.3	3.02	13.0	13.7	-0.69
Tre Jones	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	1	-7	15.4	14.7	0.73	14.1	11.8	2.28
Devin Vassell	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-2	-1	14.9	16.0	-1.17	13.9	11.6	2.30
Victor Wembanyama	66	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	7	-19	15.5	14.6	0.90	13.1	13.7	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.45,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.33,0.15,0	93.7%
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	91.9%
CHI 101, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	91.3%