NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	8.4 [215]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +28.8%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	10.5 [78]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -33.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.01,0.09,0.18,0.29	0.02	0.27	-0.00	15	47%	0.32	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.09
Luol Deng	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	17	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luke Schenscher	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.04,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.21	-0.01	19	48%	0.30	4	-0.12	10	90%	0.07
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	13	65%	0.20	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	7	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	44%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.05
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.33	-0.33	-0.02	-0.30	0.01	21	50%	-0.24	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	29.7	17.3	25.1	0.8	39.3	140.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.0%

CHI +10.3%

BOS -11.3%

CHI +37.9%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	15.6	105.2	100.0	104.4
season	14.4	14.8		102.6	103.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		104.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.5	14.2	14.8	11.5	14.2
BOS	14.9	15.8	14.6	17.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	71	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-7	18	13.4	16.6	-3.25	15.8	15.2	0.54
Ben Gordon	62	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-9	22	13.8	15.0	-1.24	16.4	14.2	2.21
Tyson Chandler	68	68	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-9	22	13.9	15.0	-1.13	16.1	14.5	1.65
Luol Deng	87	87	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-2	8	14.0	16.6	-2.60	16.1	12.0	4.06
Kirk Hinrich	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	4	-4	14.2	14.2	0.03	15.0	18.4	-3.44
Othella Harrington	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	16.3	14.0	2.35	18.2	15.3	2.86
Luke Schenscher	4	3	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	18.0	14.0	3.97	17.3	15.6	1.75
Jannero Pargo	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	4	-4	13.8	14.2	-0.39	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Michael Sweetney	42	44	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	15	-26	14.4	14.1	0.28	14.0	17.0	-3.08
Andres Nocioni	51	53	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.06	-14	18	-32	16.0	12.2	3.76	15.0	16.4	-1.33

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	44	45	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-5	6	17.1	14.4	2.70	14.7	13.7	0.97
Brian Scalabrine	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-3	2	17.5	15.1	2.35	12.6	14.7	-2.15
Gerald Green	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	18.9	15.2	3.69	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Orien Greene	18	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	2	-8	17.7	15.2	2.49	13.8	14.3	-0.45
Tony Allen	26	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-4	4	17.0	15.2	1.81	14.7	14.0	0.70
Paul Pierce	86	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.44	6	-10	16	14.8	21.8	-6.97	14.5	11.9	2.61
Raef LaFrentz	46	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	3	-10	15.2	16.0	-0.80	14.4	14.0	0.38
Ryan Gomes	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-5	6	15.0	17.9	-2.94	14.7	12.7	1.92
Delonte West	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-6	8	15.0	19.0	-4.02	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Wally Szczerbiak	76	75	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	8	-20	15.4	16.6	-1.25	13.5	16.7	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 112, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,0	92.2%
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	91.9%
MIA 101, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	91.8%