NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	8.3 [229]		MVP	Dewayne Dedmon (ATL): +40.2%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	16.2 [24]		LVP	Shane Larkin (BOS): -24.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.4,0.4	0.02	0.36	-0.02	9	53%	0.43	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Taurean Prince	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	-0.02	0.03	17	92%	0.29	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	8	53%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Damion Lee	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonius Cleveland	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.02	9	60%	0.06	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	0.00	8	85%	0.29	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.04
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	12	70%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	93%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.10	0.00	2	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jabari Bird	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kadeem Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Aron Baynes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	2	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	9	27%	-0.17	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	23.7	14.5	27.3	1.7	29.2	122.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.9%

ATL +6.5%

ATL +0.9%

BOS -1.4%

BOS -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.7	119.1	114.0	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		104.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		103.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.9	16.4	15.2	13.9	15.5
BOS	15.2	17.1	14.2	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	0	6	15.5	15.6	-0.06	15.3	15.1	0.21
Dewayne Dedmon	51	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	5	-4	15.0	16.1	-1.03	15.9	14.4	1.47
John Collins	70	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.39	-2	8	-10	15.0	16.9	-1.83	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Isaiah Taylor	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.8	-0.56	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Mike Muscala	55	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	-9	24	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.2	15.4	-0.28
Tyler Dorsey	50	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	15.4	15.6	-0.15	14.2	16.4	-2.14
DeAndre' Bembry	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	-2	10	15.8	15.3	0.56	16.4	14.5	1.84
Damion Lee	55	56	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	3	0	16.0	14.8	1.18	15.7	14.7	0.98
Antonius Cleveland	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	5	-4	15.7	15.5	0.24	15.0	15.3	-0.34
Miles Plumlee	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	6	-6	16.8	15.4	1.36	18.2	15.1	3.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	52	52	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-15	24	15.3	15.3	-0.05	15.7	15.3	0.32
Jaylen Brown	55	55	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-13	20	15.0	15.7	-0.67	15.8	15.1	0.74
Jayson Tatum	56	59	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-12	18	15.2	15.5	-0.33	15.9	14.9	1.04
Al Horford	50	51	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-11	16	15.7	14.8	0.84	16.2	14.7	1.58
Kadeem Allen	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	6.0	15.4	-9.39	0.0	15.5	-15.51
Aron Baynes	44	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	16.0	14.7	1.26	16.6	14.6	2.06
Abdel Nader	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	1	-8	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Greg Monroe	43	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	1	-8	14.8	15.7	-0.84	14.6	16.4	-1.83
Semi Ojeleye	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	4	-14	15.2	15.4	-0.12	14.9	16.4	-1.55
Jonathan Gibson	6	8	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	-2	-2	12.8	15.5	-2.63	10.9	15.9	-5.07
Jabari Bird	42	41	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	8	-22	15.6	15.0	0.64	15.6	15.4	0.22
Shane Larkin	41	42	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.36	-15	9	-24	15.3	15.3	0.05	15.3	15.7	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.09,0	92.2%
CHI 101, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	92.2%
CLE 93, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.45,0.27,0	91.9%