NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	7.7 [294]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +25.0%
Brooklyn Nets	88		Comeback	9.1 [38]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -24.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.14	0.03	12	77%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.19	0.03	0.18	0.03	10	60%	0.28	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	13	40%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	73%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Henry Sims	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Malcolm Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	4	-0.18	6	50%	-0.04

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	1	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	17	51%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	9	54%	0.04	3	-0.19	8	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.18	-0.05	14	41%	-0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	25.5	14.8	27.5	2.3	34.5	130.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.3%

BKN -7.6%

BKN -15.1%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.1	100.0	97.8	104.2
season	14.9	15.3		94.3	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.8		105.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	16.5	15.7	17.4	16.1
BKN	13.6	17.0	15.6	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	73	74	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.44	10	-8	18	16.5	14.6	1.90	15.9	15.7	0.14
Tony Wroten	51	51	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-10	22	16.5	15.6	0.96	16.8	14.6	2.25
Nerlens Noel	60	61	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-4	10	15.6	17.2	-1.65	16.7	14.2	2.50
Michael Carter-Williams	58	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.56	-2	4	-6	16.4	15.7	0.69	15.1	17.3	-2.22
Luc Mbah a Moute	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	3	-4	16.8	14.2	2.68	15.9	15.6	0.30
Jerami Grant	25	24	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	-1	4	14.4	16.8	-2.40	17.1	15.4	1.66
KJ McDaniels	45	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.11	3	-1	4	15.2	17.1	-1.87	16.0	15.7	0.34
JaKarr Sampson	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	16.4	16.1	0.32	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Furkan Aldemir	14	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.02	-3	5	-8	13.7	16.6	-2.86	15.5	15.9	-0.48
Malcolm Thomas	16	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	7	-12	14.7	16.4	-1.76	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Henry Sims	35	33	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.05	-9	11	-20	18.0	15.0	3.01	14.1	16.9	-2.80

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	25	26	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.01	13	-15	28	13.3	16.9	-3.58	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Mason Plumlee	62	63	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.26	14	-16	30	15.2	17.4	-2.22	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Brook Lopez	54	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-8	14	15.3	16.7	-1.33	16.2	16.1	0.13
Bojan Bogdanovic	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	6	-14	14.8	16.3	-1.53	17.4	15.6	1.81
Jerome Jordan	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	4	-10	17.6	15.4	2.11	17.4	15.8	1.50
Mirza Teletovic	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	4	-10	18.2	14.4	3.82	16.3	16.0	0.29
Joe Johnson	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-8	14	15.9	15.7	0.16	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Jarrett Jack	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.58	6	-8	14	15.0	18.9	-3.91	15.6	18.0	-2.37
Alan Anderson	65	64	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.46	-15	13	-28	16.9	13.3	3.58	16.3	15.8	0.51
Darius Morris	24	23	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.33	-20	18	-38	17.7	15.2	2.45	16.7	15.9	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.43,0.17,0	91.3%
NJN 117, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.91,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.02,0	90.8%
SEA 102, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.87,0.76,0.86,0.69,0.63,0.23,0.15,0	90.8%