NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.5 [295]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +22.5%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	13.4 [36]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -26.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23	0.21	0.03	0.01	14	76%	0.25	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
David Lee	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	6	69%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	21	56%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	60%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	9	45%	-0.06	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	19	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	80%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	56%	0.12	1	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.12	0.00	16	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.2	28.6	15.5	29.6	2.6	36.3	140.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.0%

CHI -1.3%

NYK +14.2%

CHI -5.6%

NYK +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.4	116.7	111.1	105.7
season	15.7	15.0		103.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	17.0	14.9	17.0	15.4
CHI	17.1	16.5	16.4	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	52	51	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.48	8	-3	11	15.4	15.3	0.02	15.7	17.9	-2.17
Zach Randolph	47	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-2	9	15.9	14.7	1.22	17.5	15.6	1.90
Stephon Marbury	76	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-3	11	15.7	13.2	2.54	16.9	15.7	1.16
Jamal Crawford	86	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-2	9	15.2	19.2	-4.08	16.5	19.8	-3.34
Eddy Curry	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	3	-1	15.6	14.7	0.84	17.1	15.0	2.08
Jared Jeffries	34	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	4	-3	15.0	15.6	-0.62	16.3	16.9	-0.54
Malik Rose	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	15.5	15.3	0.16	12.9	17.0	-4.14
Quentin Richardson	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	10	-15	13.5	16.0	-2.52	17.7	16.3	1.41
Nate Robinson	55	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.21	2	3	-1	15.3	15.4	-0.03	16.5	16.9	-0.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	27	27	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.07	6	-11	17	16.4	16.7	-0.34	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Aaron Gray	19	20	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-9	13	16.3	16.7	-0.48	14.2	15.7	-1.42
Andres Nocioni	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	18.0	15.9	2.02	12.2	17.0	-4.87
Thabo Sefolosha	5	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	12.0	16.9	-4.92	18.2	15.2	3.01
Chris Duhon	50	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.13	-7	2	-9	17.9	15.0	2.87	14.5	16.4	-1.86
Tyrus Thomas	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-11	17	15.8	17.3	-1.53	18.0	13.5	4.44
Kirk Hinrich	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-3	1	16.5	17.7	-1.21	15.4	14.7	0.66
Ben Gordon	64	65	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	3	-11	16.0	18.2	-2.12	15.5	14.9	0.60
Ben Wallace	71	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.37	-9	4	-13	16.7	16.3	0.48	15.9	13.7	2.20
Joe Smith	63	63	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.42	-11	6	-17	16.7	16.4	0.34	15.6	14.9	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.43,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 90, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.33,0.15,0	91.3%
CHA 104, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.16,0	90.3%
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	89.9%