NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	4.1 [969]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +18.3%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	1.0 [980]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -10.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1	0.00	0.07	-0.03	3	83%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	18	47%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.11	14	58%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	13	50%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.25
Fred VanVleet	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	12	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.07	0.06	19	70%	0.27	5	-0.09	15	80%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	14	56%	0.10	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	68%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Harry Giles III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	31.6	14.6	28.3	0.1	40.1	144.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +32.5%

BKN +12.7%

BKN +3.3%

HOU -1.2%

BKN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	13.5	13.7	14.5	97.2	101.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		113.2	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		114.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.2	14.3	12.5	10.6	13.5
BKN	12.8	14.5	11.9	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	3	-8	14.0	13.4	0.57	16.2	13.4	2.80
Amen Thompson	33	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-1	0	13.5	13.5	-0.02	12.9	14.1	-1.16
Aaron Holiday	45	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-3	4	11.8	14.7	-2.89	13.4	13.8	-0.45
Fred VanVleet	86	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-10	18	13.3	14.4	-1.10	14.0	12.4	1.58
Jalen Green	77	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-8	14	12.6	15.8	-3.25	14.0	12.8	1.20
Jae'Sean Tate	36	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-5	8	13.4	13.5	-0.08	14.3	13.3	0.92
Alperen Sengun	64	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	5	-12	14.2	12.5	1.64	12.4	15.4	-2.94
Cam Whitmore	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-5	8	13.9	13.0	0.91	13.7	13.7	0.02
Jeff Green	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	14	-30	15.8	12.4	3.41	12.6	14.2	-1.52
Dillon Brooks	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	0	-2	13.7	12.8	0.85	14.2	11.6	2.64

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Thomas	91	93	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-9	20	13.3	16.1	-2.85	14.0	10.3	3.69
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-17	36	13.1	14.6	-1.53	14.3	12.2	2.11
Spencer Dinwiddie	79	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.38	1	1	0	13.0	15.8	-2.78	13.7	12.9	0.81
Mikal Bridges	90	92	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	7	-12	13.5	14.6	-1.08	13.0	16.4	-3.38
Dennis Smith Jr.	35	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	2	-2	16.1	12.5	3.61	12.7	13.9	-1.18
Nic Claxton	83	84	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.47	-7	9	-16	13.9	13.0	0.86	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Royce O'Neale	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.43	-9	11	-20	14.5	12.9	1.58	12.6	14.3	-1.62
Lonnie Walker IV	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	3	-4	13.7	13.7	-0.01	13.7	13.4	0.33
Harry Giles III	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	2.0	13.8	-11.79	0.0	13.5	-13.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 92, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.97,1,1	96.5%
BOS 95, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.89,1,1	96.4%