NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	2.6 [1233]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +5.4%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.0 [1279]		LVP	Brandon Rush (IND): -5.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	8	77%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	19	56%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.07	13	55%	-0.00	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
A.J. Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	9	32%	-0.02	4	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	55%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	64%	0.12	6	-0.07	24	67%	-0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	8	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.0	31.1	16.4	30.5	2.7	27.3	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.9%

ORL +1.6%

ORL +13.2%

ORL +0.8%

ORL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	15.3	96.1	105.8	106.0
season	14.2	15.4		102.2	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.9	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	13.4	11.9	14.3	13.6
ORL	11.2	14.3	14.3	19.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-6	1	13.0	13.7	-0.72	12.1	14.8	-2.77
A.J. Price	36	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-1	-9	12.7	14.1	-1.40	12.8	15.3	-2.54
Dahntay Jones	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-9	7	13.8	13.2	0.51	14.8	13.3	1.57
Troy Murphy	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-12	13	14.0	12.9	1.05	15.3	12.7	2.58
Brandon Rush	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	14.0	13.4	0.60	13.4	15.0	-1.66
Danny Granger	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-14	17	13.4	14.3	-0.88	15.2	11.9	3.25
Mike Dunleavy	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-8	5	13.7	13.5	0.12	14.5	14.3	0.21
Earl Watson	83	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-8	5	13.8	12.8	0.97	14.9	12.6	2.31
Roy Hibbert	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.26	-22	11	-33	13.5	13.7	-0.30	13.2	15.3	-2.15

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	82	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-6	23	14.1	15.9	-1.75	14.1	12.0	2.02
Dwight Howard	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-4	19	14.5	14.5	-0.02	13.9	12.8	1.04
Rashard Lewis	84	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	1	9	14.3	15.2	-0.91	13.9	12.5	1.40
Jason Williams	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	-9	29	13.5	15.8	-2.29	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Vince Carter	52	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-2	15	14.9	14.0	0.88	14.8	12.4	2.45
Mickael Pietrus	30	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	12	-13	14.3	14.5	-0.23	12.8	14.0	-1.23
Jameer Nelson	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	20	-29	15.8	13.5	2.29	14.2	13.2	1.02
JJ Redick	42	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.31	-7	18	-25	14.7	14.3	0.46	11.9	14.8	-2.88
Ryan Anderson	19	20	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	10	-9	15.2	14.3	0.91	12.5	13.9	-1.40
Marcin Gortat	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	11	-11	14.4	14.5	-0.06	13.9	13.6	0.32
Brandon Bass	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	15	-19	14.7	14.5	0.21	9.7	13.9	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, BOS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
BOS 76, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%