NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	76		Excitement	1.7 [1299]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +9.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Comeback	1.0 [1175]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (BOS): -7.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	17	34%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	-0.01	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	6	71%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	26%	-0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.18	0.00	0.09	14	85%	0.13	5	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.08	6	107%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	70%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	9	59%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.01	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	3.8	35.3	18.7	30.2	2.6	33.3	153.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.2%

CLE +5.1%

CLE +9.4%

BOS -1.3%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.5	85.4	118.9	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		108.3	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.7	13.3	16.8	16.2	15.7
CLE	14.0	18.8	16.0	17.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Pruitt	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-35	39	12.0	15.9	-3.94	12.8	16.7	-3.87
Henry Walker	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-30	29	15.0	15.9	-0.86	18.6	16.1	2.51
Stephon Marbury	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-24	17	15.6	15.8	-0.17	17.9	15.5	2.34
Tony Allen	35	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.28	-13	-18	5	15.5	15.9	-0.38	18.3	15.2	3.13
Eddie House	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.34	-19	-12	-7	16.2	15.3	0.86	17.3	15.6	1.67
Mikki Moore	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.30	-19	-12	-7	16.8	14.9	1.91	17.6	15.7	1.90
Rajon Rondo	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-15	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.36	15.7	17.6	-1.92
Kendrick Perkins	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-12	-7	16.6	14.9	1.70	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Ray Allen	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.22	-20	-11	-9	15.4	16.1	-0.67	15.4	17.8	-2.41
Paul Pierce	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	-13	-5	15.2	16.6	-1.36	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Glen Davis	69	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.40	-27	-4	-23	15.9	15.0	0.93	16.1	17.7	-1.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.62	36	-5	41	15.8	18.4	-2.53	16.5	13.1	3.37
Mo Williams	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	10	11	16.2	17.0	-0.85	16.1	14.8	1.32
LeBron James	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	10	11	15.8	17.6	-1.77	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Anderson Varejao	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	19	-7	15.7	17.4	-1.73	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Daniel Gibson	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.29	19	12	7	17.2	15.3	1.96	15.3	16.3	-0.94
Joe Smith	30	31	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.48	25	6	19	17.7	15.8	1.92	17.9	14.6	3.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	26	-21	15.9	17.1	-1.20	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Ben Wallace	10	11	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	18	-5	18.9	16.1	2.75	17.8	15.4	2.40
Darnell Jackson	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.28	10	21	-11	17.3	16.1	1.20	15.8	15.7	0.09
Tarence Kinsey	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	34	-37	16.3	16.5	-0.20	12.3	16.3	-3.99
Sasha Pavlovic	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	34	-37	17.4	16.3	1.15	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Wally Szczerbiak	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	32	-33	17.9	16.2	1.77	15.9	15.7	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, DET 116	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
GSW 96, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
TOR 86, DET 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%