NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	2.0 [1247]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +6.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	1.0 [1264]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	13	57%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.14	0.00	-0.12	7	14%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	45%	-0.01	2	-0.01	10	60%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bill Curley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	-0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	22	44%	-0.08	2	-0.01	15	60%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.00	-0.08	16	53%	0.06	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	63%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	70%	0.04	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	67%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
John Salley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.4	16.4	28.6	2.4	29.6	133.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.2%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +13.6%

LAL +2.8%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	15.2	90.6	115.5	101.7
season	14.7	15.3		97.2	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		98.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	12.8	13.2	14.6	13.9
LAL	12.4	15.5	13.0	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-32	41	13.0	14.5	-1.48	13.0	14.0	-0.99
Tim Young	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	15.0	13.9	1.12	11.7	13.7	-1.96
Tony Farmer	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-19	15	13.2	14.3	-1.10	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Sam Jacobson	11	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-16	9	15.1	13.8	1.30	16.5	13.3	3.18
Vonteego Cummings	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-23	23	13.6	14.3	-0.67	14.2	13.0	1.18
Adonal Foyle	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.43	-23	0	-23	15.3	13.2	2.13	13.5	13.7	-0.13
Bill Curley	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-22	21	13.5	14.3	-0.81	14.1	13.2	0.95
Larry Hughes	97	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-6	-11	13.9	13.9	0.04	13.5	15.2	-1.76
Donyell Marshall	60	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	5	-33	14.3	13.4	0.94	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Jason Caffey	93	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-7	-9	13.8	14.8	-0.96	13.4	15.0	-1.57
Mookie Blaylock	54	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.32	-26	3	-29	14.3	13.6	0.72	13.6	13.6	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	61	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	4	15	13.5	13.9	-0.42	14.1	13.6	0.51
Shaquille O'Neal	50	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.31	23	0	23	13.1	14.2	-1.07	14.4	13.5	0.87
A.C. Green	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	2	19	12.9	14.4	-1.48	14.3	13.6	0.72
Ron Harper	48	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	5	13	13.0	14.2	-1.26	14.4	13.5	0.98
Glen Rice	45	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	7	9	12.6	14.4	-1.75	14.1	13.8	0.37
Rick Fox	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	9	5	14.7	12.7	2.02	14.8	13.3	1.51
Derek Fisher	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	18	-13	14.2	13.0	1.26	13.5	14.4	-0.98
Robert Horry	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	16	-9	14.9	12.8	2.07	14.7	13.4	1.23
Travis Knight	43	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.31	-6	29	-35	14.5	13.0	1.51	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Brian Shaw	42	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	19	-15	13.9	13.5	0.42	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Devean George	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	24	-25	12.7	13.8	-1.09	12.0	14.4	-2.37
John Salley	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	28	-33	12.5	13.8	-1.32	9.4	14.5	-5.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	98.2%
WAS 120, DAL 137	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
DET 76, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%