NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	1.9 [1303]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +7.9%
Dallas Mavericks	137		Comeback	1.2 [1151]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (WAS): -10.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	17	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	11	100%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	0.00	0.16	23	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	18	83%	0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.03
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	20	44%	0.03	4	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	17	66%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	74%	0.10	5	-0.03	11	82%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.20	0.00	0.17	12	96%	0.03	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	16	64%	-0.00	3	-0.01	12	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	30.5	17.3	32.4	2.5	30.5	142.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.1%

DAL +7.1%

WAS -4.7%

DAL +12.8%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	15.5	112.1	130.5	104.0
season	14.7	14.9		104.7	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	14.8	14.5	10.5	13.6
DAL	10.9	11.9	13.7	18.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	28	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-24	31	13.7	13.5	0.15	14.4	13.3	1.07
Samaki Walker	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-16	15	16.0	13.4	2.60	10.1	13.8	-3.70
Laron Profit	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	-3	-11	13.6	13.5	0.06	12.8	14.3	-1.51
Brendan Haywood	17	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-8	-1	14.1	13.5	0.65	12.9	13.7	-0.78
Jarvis Hayes	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-14	11	12.8	14.3	-1.43	14.2	13.0	1.17
Etan Thomas	35	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-5	-7	14.4	13.2	1.23	10.7	15.1	-4.37
Jared Jeffries	66	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-15	13	13.5	13.7	-0.22	14.9	11.7	3.22
Juan Dixon	95	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	13.3	16.1	-2.83	14.0	10.8	3.12
Antawn Jamison	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	1	-19	13.6	13.6	-0.05	13.6	13.6	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	95	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	1	-19	13.7	12.3	1.39	13.7	13.0	0.68

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	95	98	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-6	29	13.6	13.4	0.22	13.8	11.3	2.44
Jason Terry	87	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	1	15	14.2	10.7	3.47	13.1	15.5	-2.38
Michael Finley	91	94	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	7	3	14.3	8.9	5.47	13.3	15.7	-2.42
Josh Howard	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.06	9	8	1	12.9	14.2	-1.32	14.4	12.8	1.56
Jerry Stackhouse	75	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	4	9	13.5	13.8	-0.33	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Erick Dampier	28	28	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	11	-5	13.1	13.8	-0.67	15.2	13.0	2.23
Shawn Bradley	23	21	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	11	-5	10.7	14.4	-3.72	13.8	13.5	0.24
Alan Henderson	48	52	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	22	-27	14.7	12.6	2.08	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Devin Harris	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	16	-15	11.3	14.1	-2.84	14.9	13.2	1.66
Darrell Armstrong	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.17	6	11	-5	12.8	13.6	-0.81	8.0	13.9	-5.90
DJ Mbenga	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	12.0	13.6	-1.62	0.0	13.6	-13.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	98.3%
DET 75, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
GSW 96, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%