inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 75 Excitement1.6 [1275] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +6.6%
Dallas Mavericks 114 Comeback1.0 [1145] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -7.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Curry0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.00-0.06533%0.0300.0020%-0.00
Richard Hamilton0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.031553%0.022-0.01683%0.00
Hubert Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0720%0.0020.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.03462%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.011152%-0.011-0.003100%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03262%0.012-0.02475%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.05769%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.010.000.04850%-0.0500.00683%-0.01
Chucky Atkins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.160.00-0.11915%-0.042-0.01250%-0.01
Jon Barry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.04714%-0.0610.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.120.00-0.04322%-0.033-0.04367%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.01773%0.0700.001100%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.140.000.101276%0.0500.009100%0.02
Shawn Bradley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00-0.041154%0.041-0.01450%-0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.07880%0.0400.004100%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.053117%0.0300.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01856%0.021-0.00250%0.01
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.021257%0.0100.00683%0.01
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02837%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03629%-0.021-0.022100%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.029.116.524.31.728.6129.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +31.7%
DAL +8.4%
DET -0.3%
DAL +8.1%
DAL +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game17.215.015.583.3128.1101.6
season16.815.1101.7108.6
opponent15.315.6102.097.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.218.917.015.217.2
DAL12.811.615.820.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hubert Davis1917-0.00-0.500.49-0.248-475513.018.3-5.2719.214.05.15
Tayshaun Prince3131-0.08-0.420.34-0.173-424516.617.4-0.7815.514.80.68
Jon Barry2121-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-404116.517.3-0.8218.414.04.47
Zeljko Rebraca1413-0.13-0.370.230.22-12-271520.216.63.6211.915.5-3.62
Mehmet Okur3231-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-373517.317.10.2014.415.3-0.96
Corliss Williamson4746-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-363315.718.7-3.0415.914.11.78
Chauncey Billups1920-0.23-0.270.040.30-18-21321.616.05.6111.516.0-4.53
Chucky Atkins6059-0.27-0.23-0.040.64-31-8-2316.817.9-1.1715.114.80.27
Michael Curry3434-0.28-0.22-0.060.77-36-3-3319.116.03.1114.215.5-1.35
Ben Wallace5858-0.33-0.17-0.170.75-37-2-3517.117.3-0.2015.314.40.96
Richard Hamilton5555-0.35-0.15-0.200.65-34-5-2917.117.2-0.0314.116.4-2.27
Clifford Robinson6060-0.37-0.13-0.230.63-34-5-2917.316.90.3814.815.5-0.75

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley61630.430.070.36-0.513272514.017.1-3.0617.217.00.17
Dirk Nowitzki43430.420.080.34-0.643633312.117.8-5.6920.014.65.45
Steve Nash48480.400.100.29-0.603452912.817.6-4.8619.314.74.67
Shawn Bradley54540.330.170.16-0.382415915.114.90.2516.817.7-0.99
Raja Bell49510.250.250.01-0.161425-1115.714.21.5216.218.4-2.21
Nick Van Exel45460.200.30-0.110.05534-2916.213.82.3615.718.7-3.03
Eduardo Najera46480.180.32-0.14-0.442118315.214.80.3417.317.00.29
Walt Williams35350.180.32-0.14-0.261524-915.115.00.0816.817.4-0.63
Adrian Griffin35340.110.39-0.27-0.271326-1316.414.12.3416.417.6-1.15
Avery Johnson29280.000.50-0.49-0.02138-3719.912.67.3015.018.1-3.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 76, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
DET 91, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,198.2%
NJN 92, SAC 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,198.2%