inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 76 Excitement1.6 [1274] MVPStephen Jackson (SAS): +5.0%
San Antonio Spurs 108 Comeback1.1 [926] LVPClifford Robinson (DET): -7.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.081165%0.0000.001100%0.00
Hubert Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pepe Sanchez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.120.00-0.12714%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Jon Barry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02957%-0.0010.003100%0.00
Michael Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001165%0.025-0.06475%-0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.010.000.04656%-0.0400.00683%-0.01
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.00367%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.041225%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chucky Atkins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.03714%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.00-0.04936%-0.053-0.0340%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.110.000.061371%0.061-0.012100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.041855%0.062-0.01450%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.071173%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.065100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033117%0.0310.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mengke Bateer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01550%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.03546%0.021-0.02367%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02775%0.015-0.021080%-0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.03333%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.727.115.721.22.428.2122.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.2%
SAS +1.5%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +6.6%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSASNBADETSASNBA
this game16.915.315.585.4120.0101.6
season16.815.7101.7102.5
opponent15.415.696.997.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.417.119.614.116.9
SAS14.715.615.715.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hubert Davis17170.00-0.500.500.09-3-292613.017.8-4.7914.715.5-0.75
Pepe Sanchez12130.00-0.500.500.03-1-313012.817.5-4.6714.315.5-1.17
Tayshaun Prince2524-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-333414.118.0-3.8915.315.30.03
Jon Barry3939-0.16-0.340.180.10-9-231415.917.6-1.7015.115.5-0.32
Chucky Atkins3231-0.18-0.320.150.09-9-231417.716.41.3615.715.10.61
Michael Curry2728-0.23-0.270.030.44-23-9-1420.015.54.5414.515.7-1.23
Corliss Williamson4545-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.09-6-262016.417.3-0.8716.114.61.51
Clifford Robinson3842-0.27-0.23-0.040.46-25-7-1819.714.84.8515.115.5-0.32
Chauncey Billups4546-0.32-0.18-0.150.32-22-10-1217.316.40.9215.315.30.03
Richard Hamilton5051-0.34-0.16-0.180.34-23-9-1417.615.91.7015.515.10.32
Ben Wallace5557-0.34-0.16-0.180.33-23-9-1417.715.52.2715.515.00.54
Mehmet Okur6057-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-17-15-215.519.8-4.2815.215.5-0.23

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan57550.400.100.30-0.392752215.415.10.3517.515.81.75
Stephen Jackson52520.370.130.25-0.452842415.714.71.0418.614.54.09
Tony Parker55550.340.160.18-0.392571815.415.20.1417.416.11.28
Bruce Bowen46450.330.170.16-0.382481615.714.90.7917.815.91.91
Kevin Willis29280.270.230.05-0.051121-1015.715.10.5116.417.1-0.76
Danny Ferry45440.230.27-0.05-0.04923-1414.416.2-1.8215.118.6-3.44
Malik Rose52530.220.28-0.06-0.4322101214.915.9-1.0617.216.50.68
Manu Ginobili49490.170.33-0.15-0.06824-1615.315.30.0816.217.7-1.45
Steve Kerr35340.160.34-0.18-0.04725-1815.215.4-0.1416.117.4-1.28
Mengke Bateer30300.000.50-0.490.03-133-3415.515.20.2314.917.9-2.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 90, GSW 1350.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
DET 75, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
DET 91, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,198.1%