NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	1.8 [1294]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +10.2%
Golden State Warriors	135		Comeback	1.0 [1295]		LVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): -4.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	15	57%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	8%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Quarterman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	47%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	24%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	0.00	0.10	15	61%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	11	79%	0.10	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.22	0.00	0.14	13	94%	0.12	5	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.23	0.00	0.14	11	96%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	15	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	5	85%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	29.3	15.3	29.6	3.4	24.6	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.0%

GSW +7.2%

GSW +11.4%

POR -4.1%

GSW +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	14.8	89.1	136.4	107.7
season	14.9	13.5		108.6	114.9
opponent	15.1	14.5		103.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	14.5	15.8	13.4	15.0
GSW	15.1	13.2	11.3	16.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Quarterman	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-35	25	12.4	15.5	-3.06	15.1	13.6	1.55
Jake Layman	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-36	27	13.4	15.5	-2.13	16.1	13.1	2.98
Shabazz Napier	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-36	27	13.4	15.5	-2.13	16.1	13.1	2.98
Ed Davis	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-38	31	15.3	14.9	0.35	12.4	14.0	-1.65
Pat Connaughton	38	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.34	-16	-29	13	14.0	15.5	-1.50	15.9	12.7	3.27
Mason Plumlee	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.34	-18	-27	9	16.8	14.0	2.86	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Noah Vonleh	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.64	-29	-16	-13	15.4	14.6	0.83	15.4	12.5	2.96
Meyers Leonard	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-35	25	14.5	15.2	-0.75	13.8	13.8	0.01
Evan Turner	38	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-31	17	14.8	15.0	-0.19	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Allen Crabbe	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.18	-16	-29	13	14.4	15.6	-1.15	12.5	15.4	-2.96
Damian Lillard	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.48	-29	-16	-13	15.5	14.0	1.50	12.7	15.9	-3.27
Maurice Harkless	63	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.48	-29	-16	-13	15.5	14.0	1.50	12.7	15.9	-3.27
CJ McCollum	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.48	-29	-16	-13	15.9	14.0	1.94	13.8	13.9	-0.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	62	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.51	33	12	21	13.1	15.1	-1.96	15.9	13.3	2.62
Ian Clark	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.44	25	20	5	15.5	12.6	2.94	14.2	15.5	-1.30
David West	14	16	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	29	-13	14.0	13.8	0.20	15.9	14.8	1.09
Andre Iguodala	39	41	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	30	-15	13.6	14.0	-0.39	14.7	15.1	-0.47
Stephen Curry	58	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.37	21	24	-3	12.6	15.5	-2.92	15.4	14.3	1.11
Klay Thompson	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	24	-3	13.0	14.8	-1.86	16.0	13.9	2.10
Draymond Green	61	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.35	20	25	-5	12.9	15.3	-2.41	15.4	14.3	1.04
Zaza Pachulia	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	24	-3	14.0	13.8	0.21	16.9	14.0	2.85
Shaun Livingston	34	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	33	-21	15.3	13.1	2.19	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Patrick McCaw	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.47	20	25	-5	15.0	13.3	1.73	13.2	15.8	-2.64
Kevon Looney	24	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	36	-27	16.1	13.1	2.98	13.4	15.5	-2.13
James Michael McAdoo	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	37	-29	15.4	13.5	1.91	12.2	15.6	-3.39
JaVale McGee	25	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	41	-37	13.0	14.1	-1.05	13.8	15.4	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 76, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.4%
DET 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	98.1%
GSW 96, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%