NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	7.4 [380]		MVP	Paul Reed (PHI): +23.5%
Denver Nuggets	111		Comeback	1.4 [1074]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): -8.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Reed	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	21	71%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	0.00	17	61%	0.13	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Danuel House Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	12	61%	0.06	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	16	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Springer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	8	82%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	19	53%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.02	16	54%	0.18	3	-0.07	16	62%	-0.12
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	45%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.07	0.01	15	68%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.7	33.3	15.7	30.3	2.8	34.2	143.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +18.8%

PHI -10.9%

DEN +31.2%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	14.5	112.9	116.8	113.9
season	14.9	15.0		115.6	116.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.4	15.6	15.2	15.7	15.0
DEN	16.6	14.4	17.5	14.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	16	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-14	22	13.6	15.2	-1.62	17.8	15.2	2.68
Jaden Springer	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-5	4	16.6	14.7	1.92	16.8	15.5	1.37
Danuel House Jr.	57	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-12	18	14.4	15.8	-1.41	15.3	16.2	-0.88
KJ Martin	33	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.32	8	-14	22	13.6	15.7	-2.16	17.3	14.7	2.60
Marcus Morris Sr.	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	1	-8	15.7	13.3	2.46	15.1	17.0	-1.91
Kelly Oubre Jr.	78	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	2	-10	14.7	16.6	-1.95	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	48	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	16.0	13.9	2.13	16.1	15.2	0.95
Paul Reed	84	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.28	-12	6	-18	14.8	16.1	-1.27	15.3	18.7	-3.39
Patrick Beverley	72	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.26	-14	8	-22	15.2	14.3	0.82	15.0	17.7	-2.69

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Porter Jr.	71	68	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.40	18	-12	30	15.1	17.4	-2.29	15.6	13.3	2.25
Jamal Murray	73	69	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-7	20	15.4	16.5	-1.15	15.8	12.5	3.38
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	15.6	15.9	-0.38	14.3	16.4	-2.09
Aaron Gordon	64	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	0	6	15.5	16.0	-0.50	14.3	16.2	-1.95
Nikola Jokic	74	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	4	-2	15.7	15.5	0.24	14.5	16.4	-1.89
DeAndre Jordan	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	2	2	15.5	15.7	-0.24	16.4	14.5	1.89
Christian Braun	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	6	-6	16.0	15.5	0.50	16.2	14.3	1.95
Peyton Watson	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	16.6	15.0	1.66	14.8	15.1	-0.25
Reggie Jackson	35	37	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.10	-14	20	-34	16.5	15.2	1.35	13.5	15.9	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.42,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.58,0.76,0.93,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.0%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	93.0%
SAC 101, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.68,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,1	92.8%