NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	6.8 [492]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +26.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Comeback	1.1 [782]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -19.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	87%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Jonathan Isaac	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Mo Bamba	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Markelle Fultz	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.03	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	15	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	7	22%	-0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.12	0.01	14	75%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	11	45%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	15	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	17	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.04	11	23%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	0.3	28.8	5.8	32.0	0.7	29.6	125.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.7%

ORL -12.3%

ORL -13.4%

OKC +23.3%

OKC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	OKC	NBA	ORL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.2	100.0	107.4	109.6
season	14.7	14.3		107.1	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		107.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.9	16.4	14.1	14.6	15.5
OKC	13.8	14.9	15.3	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	29	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-16	24	14.8	15.8	-0.96	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Terrence Ross	47	48	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-12	16	15.0	15.9	-0.96	14.1	16.0	-1.85
D.J. Augustin	53	54	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-16	24	15.8	15.0	0.90	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-9	10	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.2	14.8	0.42
Aaron Gordon	55	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	15.5	15.4	0.08	15.1	15.0	0.08
Jonathan Isaac	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	6	-20	15.9	14.7	1.18	15.3	14.6	0.75
Markelle Fultz	46	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	6	-20	15.2	15.7	-0.60	15.5	14.6	0.93
Evan Fournier	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	5	-18	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.2	14.7	0.42
Nikola Vucevic	64	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	8	-24	16.0	14.3	1.65	15.5	14.1	1.42

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-6	20	15.4	14.1	1.32	15.7	14.7	1.00
Steven Adams	49	48	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	16.5	13.4	3.08	15.7	15.2	0.43
Chris Paul	67	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	14.8	15.5	-0.68	14.9	16.6	-1.63
Dennis Schroder	63	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	9	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.49	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Danilo Gallinari	51	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	4	0	16.4	13.5	2.92	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Terrance Ferguson	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-2	12	15.0	15.1	-0.08	16.8	14.3	2.47
Darius Bazley	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	8	-8	13.6	16.5	-2.95	16.1	14.8	1.30
Nerlens Noel	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	6	-4	13.5	15.7	-2.23	16.6	14.9	1.72
Mike Muscala	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	12.7	15.3	-2.59	11.9	15.9	-3.98
Hamidou Diallo	44	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.1	15.8	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.72,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.0%
CLE 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.9%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%