NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	6.9 [444]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +15.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.4 [812]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (CHA): -21.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	18	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	15	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	17	32%	-0.12	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.11	0.02	13	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	18	70%	0.22	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	5	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.3	15.0	25.2	2.3	35.6	132.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +57.5%

CHA +6.6%

CLE -22.4%

CHA +6.4%

CHA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.1	98.9	109.8	105.2
season	15.2	15.7		102.8	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.6	13.7	14.8	13.8	15.1
CHA	15.0	17.0	16.6	15.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Bennett	22	22	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-18	27	15.5	14.9	0.60	17.6	15.6	2.02
Jarrett Jack	52	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-5	1	15.5	14.6	0.94	16.3	15.7	0.58
Tyler Zeller	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	16.6	14.3	2.30	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Matthew Dellavedova	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	16.0	14.7	1.38	16.6	15.8	0.79
Luol Deng	66	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	14.9	15.4	-0.51	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Dion Waiters	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	14.5	16.4	-1.98	15.4	17.5	-2.03
Tristan Thompson	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	1	-11	14.3	16.6	-2.30	16.1	16.0	0.08
Kyrie Irving	68	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	1	-11	15.1	15.1	0.01	16.4	15.0	1.46
Spencer Hawes	71	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.23	-16	7	-23	14.9	15.5	-0.60	15.6	17.6	-2.02

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	75	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-9	27	15.6	18.2	-2.60	15.2	14.6	0.61
Kemba Walker	69	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.29	12	-3	15	15.3	18.3	-3.06	15.1	15.0	0.06
Chris Douglas-Roberts	64	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	15.7	16.7	-1.00	14.6	16.2	-1.68
Anthony Tolliver	40	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	17.2	15.1	2.12	15.2	15.0	0.19
Josh McRoberts	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	3	3	17.0	12.5	4.45	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	3	3	15.4	16.6	-1.19	15.3	14.9	0.39
Cody Zeller	31	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	10	-11	14.6	16.8	-2.13	16.5	14.4	2.15
Bismack Biyombo	5	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	14	-19	18.6	15.9	2.69	13.0	15.2	-2.23
Gary Neal	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	15	-21	16.0	16.1	-0.04	15.7	14.7	0.92
Luke Ridnour	23	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	12	-15	18.3	15.3	3.06	15.0	15.1	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.46,0.59,0.65,0.84,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.83,1	93.3%
LAC 87, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.56,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.8%
MIL 98, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%