NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	7.6 [336]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +92.2%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	44.0 [78]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -5.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.22	0.20	0.02	14	87%	0.45	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,0.18	0.02	0.17	0.01	17	52%	0.32	2	-0.14	6	67%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	12	54%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.03	17	56%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.92	0.92	0.23	0.78	0.08	32	61%	0.94	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.02	6	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0,0.11,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	17	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.4	15.5	27.2	2.0	33.0	131.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.2%

CHI -3.5%

CHI -13.7%

PHX +17.5%

PHX +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	14.5	117.7	121.1	113.9
season	14.5	14.6		113.4	116.1
opponent	14.4	15.0		113.5	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.1	12.9	14.4	16.1	14.3
PHX	17.8	13.3	15.0	18.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalen Terry	18	17	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.08	1	-3	4	15.2	14.1	1.12	16.4	15.8	0.55
Jevon Carter	17	16	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	0	-2	14.1	14.3	-0.24	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Alex Caruso	63	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.52	14	-16	30	13.9	14.9	-0.94	17.0	13.7	3.34
Andre Drummond	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	10	-22	15.6	13.9	1.79	15.9	15.9	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	14.5	13.9	0.59	15.0	17.6	-2.58
Nikola Vucevic	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.63	10	-12	22	13.9	15.6	-1.79	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Coby White	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.63	9	-11	20	13.7	17.5	-3.79	16.2	13.8	2.39
Patrick Williams	63	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	8	-18	14.6	13.6	1.00	15.7	16.2	-0.47
DeMar DeRozan	79	79	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.41	-10	8	-18	14.5	13.4	1.10	15.7	16.7	-1.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	72	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.50	6	-4	10	16.5	14.0	2.46	14.5	13.6	0.86
Drew Eubanks	42	42	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-17	36	16.3	15.6	0.64	16.1	12.8	3.30
Kevin Durant	81	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	15.9	15.8	0.14	14.0	15.9	-1.89
Devin Booker	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	5	-8	16.1	14.8	1.31	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Grayson Allen	72	73	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.54	-13	15	-28	15.8	16.2	-0.35	13.9	15.5	-1.66
Keita Bates-Diop	36	34	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.29	15	-13	28	15.0	16.5	-1.46	15.6	13.5	2.10
Jusuf Nurkic	52	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.54	-15	17	-32	15.5	16.4	-0.85	12.8	16.1	-3.30
Saben Lee	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	0	2	14.1	16.2	-2.09	14.6	14.2	0.41
Josh Okogie	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	6	-10	16.1	15.8	0.24	14.0	14.4	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 123, BKN 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.42,1	91.7%
CHI 110, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.74,1	91.5%
MIN 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.99,1	90.9%