NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	8.6 [247]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +61.2%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	15.6 [81]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -45.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.52	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52	0.22	0.28	-0.01	21	70%	0.53	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0.29	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29	0.08	0.22	0.01	14	71%	0.34	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.08	-0.03	7	44%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.06
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14	-0.05	-0.16	-0.07	3	40%	0.07	2	-0.21	4	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.41,-0.45	-0.16	-0.31	-0.02	14	40%	-0.13	6	-0.32	7	86%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.42,0.61	0.61	0.15	0.48	0.01	17	63%	0.61	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.07
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	14	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.05	0.00	21	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	11	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevelin Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.05
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	11	41%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	26.7	14.7	32.1	1.7	35.3	140.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -15.3%

IND +7.5%

IND +10.0%

IND +47.5%

IND +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.4	108.9	114.9	113.4
season	14.1	13.7		112.0	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.9		116.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	12.3	17.3	15.1	14.4
IND	14.7	16.0	12.7	13.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	57	55	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-8	10	15.3	13.2	2.04	15.0	13.1	1.93
Ayo Dosunmu	52	52	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	14.1	14.7	-0.62	14.9	13.3	1.58
Derrick Jones Jr.	42	43	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-8	10	14.1	14.5	-0.40	14.8	13.7	1.10
Andre Drummond	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	1	-8	17.4	14.0	3.45	10.0	14.7	-4.70
Nikola Vucevic	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.48	2	-8	10	13.7	15.9	-2.20	14.1	14.1	0.01
Zach LaVine	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-3	0	14.2	15.3	-1.09	13.7	16.2	-2.54
Coby White	49	51	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	13.8	14.9	-1.09	13.5	14.8	-1.31
DeMar DeRozan	81	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	3	-12	15.0	11.7	3.27	14.5	12.8	1.75
Alex Caruso	60	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	7	-20	14.0	14.9	-0.93	13.7	14.8	-1.04

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	72	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-3	12	14.1	14.1	0.00	14.2	14.8	-0.54
T.J. McConnell	86	86	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-3	12	14.1	14.3	-0.15	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Myles Turner	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	1	4	13.9	14.5	-0.62	14.6	13.9	0.70
Buddy Hield	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	1	4	14.0	14.7	-0.73	14.6	13.5	1.09
Aaron Nesmith	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	5	-4	14.2	14.0	0.24	14.8	13.8	0.97
Isaiah Jackson	18	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	4	-2	12.6	14.5	-1.86	13.2	14.6	-1.37
Terry Taylor	44	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	3	0	14.0	14.2	-0.25	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Trevelin Queen	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	6	-6	14.1	14.1	-0.06	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Jalen Smith	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	7	-8	17.1	13.7	3.34	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Chris Duarte	56	55	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.11	-3	9	-12	14.5	13.7	0.85	14.3	14.4	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,1	92.8%
LAC 102, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.83,1	91.4%
BOS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	91.2%