NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	8.3 [223]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +35.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	21.2 [33]		LVP	Jeff Green (MEM): -33.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.35	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.23	0.16	0.04	19	74%	0.37	2	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.07
Jared Sullinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.08	0.02	6	78%	0.11	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.06
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	12	17%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.19	-0.02	11	45%	-0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	9	22%	-0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	17	60%	0.24	2	-0.16	8	100%	0.11
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.11	0.09	-0.05	17	31%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	12	43%	0.18	4	-0.20	4	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	8	62%	0.10	5	-0.21	13	85%	0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.3,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	11	18%	-0.27	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.4	15.3	30.4	2.4	42.5	145.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -9.0%

MEM +47.2%

MEM +46.2%

BOS -32.0%

BOS -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.9	97.0	99.0	105.1
season	13.9	15.7		104.5	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	16.1	14.6	12.3	13.9
MEM	16.5	14.5	14.2	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	65	65	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-10	17	13.6	14.4	-0.79	15.6	12.6	3.02
Evan Turner	46	45	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	0	-3	14.0	13.8	0.22	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Kelly Olynyk	46	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-6	9	14.6	13.3	1.34	14.0	14.9	-0.95
Marcus Smart	47	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-2	1	15.3	12.7	2.57	14.8	14.2	0.63
David Lee	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	9	-21	16.6	12.7	3.82	14.3	14.6	-0.24
Jared Sullinger	54	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	13.5	14.4	-0.90	15.4	13.6	1.81
Jae Crowder	66	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.68	6	-9	15	12.8	15.9	-3.07	14.1	15.2	-1.03
Isaiah Thomas	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.59	2	-5	7	13.0	15.9	-2.96	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Avery Bradley	81	83	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.34	-15	12	-27	13.8	14.3	-0.58	14.0	16.6	-2.63

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	66	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	3	-3	14.2	14.9	-0.70	14.2	13.3	0.88
Marc Gasol	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.60	-5	8	-13	14.4	14.8	-0.38	13.0	16.9	-3.87
Mario Chalmers	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.46	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.0	0.65	13.1	15.7	-2.64
Matt Barnes	69	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	13.9	15.7	-1.83	12.7	16.1	-3.37
Jeff Green	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.45	-4	7	-11	15.2	13.2	2.00	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Zach Randolph	81	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	-15	33	14.6	13.9	0.74	14.6	11.6	3.01
JaMychal Green	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.17	12	-9	21	14.3	14.5	-0.20	17.1	12.5	4.53
Vince Carter	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	-4	11	14.3	14.6	-0.27	15.2	13.0	2.20
Elliot Williams	9	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	11	-19	14.7	14.5	0.19	12.1	14.1	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	91.4%
TOR 104, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.39,0.38,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	91.2%
MIL 88, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.45,0.27,1	91.0%