NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	123		Excitement	8.7 [224]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +111.1%
Brooklyn Nets	125		Comeback	27.6 [106]		LVP	Corey Kispert (WAS): -7.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.18	0.15	-0.02	20	72%	0.47	5	-0.12	13	92%	0.05
Monte Morris	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.01,0.29	0.03	0.28	0.02	14	56%	0.34	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.14
Daniel Gafford	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.01	7	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	57%	0.24	3	-0.15	12	58%	-0.03
Jordan Goodwin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	14%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Nunn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	45%	0.02	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,-0.07	0.13	-0.15	0.06	8	83%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,1.11	1.11	0.31	0.80	-0.01	23	80%	1.17	4	-0.06	9	89%	0.05
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.12	-0.04	14	45%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.10	19	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.05
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	83%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.3	29.7	14.7	31.4	1.8	37.2	146.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.8%

BKN +0.6%

WAS -13.4%

BKN +25.2%

BKN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.1	14.4	117.1	120.2	113.4
season	14.8	14.4		113.4	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.2		113.0	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	14.5	14.1	17.3	14.5
BKN	15.3	12.2	11.6	13.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	25	24	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.08	11	-13	24	13.6	14.8	-1.22	14.9	12.5	2.35
Kristaps Porzingis	70	71	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-5	8	14.6	14.2	0.47	13.2	12.8	0.36
Corey Kispert	79	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-1	0	15.3	12.0	3.35	13.0	13.4	-0.42
Jordan Goodwin	30	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.4	0.30	12.1	13.4	-1.31
Deni Avdija	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.52	8	-10	18	14.3	15.0	-0.69	13.5	12.0	1.50
Monte Morris	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-1	0	14.9	13.5	1.41	12.9	13.5	-0.69
Kendrick Nunn	49	47	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	3	-8	13.1	15.7	-2.56	12.7	13.4	-0.74
Daniel Gafford	69	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	8	-18	14.5	14.4	0.06	12.3	14.5	-2.24
Delon Wright	59	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	7	-16	14.3	14.7	-0.45	13.7	12.2	1.52

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-8	18	12.4	15.9	-3.52	15.3	10.9	4.37
Patty Mills	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-10	22	13.4	12.4	1.01	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Royce O'Neale	62	63	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-3	8	11.8	14.9	-3.04	14.7	14.2	0.41
Cam Thomas	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-4	10	13.4	12.6	0.83	14.6	14.3	0.39
Nic Claxton	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-6	14	13.1	12.8	0.30	14.8	13.4	1.44
Yuta Watanabe	51	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	3	-4	14.0	12.1	1.91	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Markieff Morris	13	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	0	2	14.0	12.9	1.07	12.7	14.8	-2.04
Joe Harris	37	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	0	2	12.4	13.4	-0.99	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	21	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.15	-13	15	-28	14.2	12.8	1.47	12.2	15.0	-2.81
Seth Curry	44	44	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.21	-21	23	-44	13.5	12.8	0.67	13.9	14.9	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.4,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.74,1	91.1%
PHI 88, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.71,1	90.9%
BOS 98, MEM 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	90.6%