inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 109 Excitement9.7 [95] MVPDejounte Murray (ATL): +44.7%
Miami Heat 108 Comeback39.6 [27] LVPKevin Love (MIA): -22.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dejounte Murray0.450,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,0.450.010.470.032249%0.512-0.061100%0.00
Clint Capela0.140,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.140.050.090.00460%0.1400.00771%0.03
Garrison Mathews0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.070.00590%0.181-0.0400%0.00
Patty Mills0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.01-0.00692%0.171-0.0700%0.00
Saddiq Bey0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.06-0.011245%0.101-0.03786%0.04
Onyeka Okongwu0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.02-0.00590%0.092-0.0700%0.00
Jalen Johnson0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.001454%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.02-0.00-0.03-0.011553%0.193-0.212100%0.02
Trent Forrest-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.260.260.120.150.001964%0.352-0.091100%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.19,0.190.190.130.090.021083%0.404-0.211090%0.07
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.070.11-0.00569%0.1900.003100%0.03
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.130.130.010.11-0.001555%0.223-0.10887%-0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.03-0.00887%0.132-0.0700%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01956%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.14-0.09-0.0150%-0.103-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.11.827.135.426.32.438.3154.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +39.5%
MIA -7.2%
MIA -10.5%
ATL +12.7%
ATL +15.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game14.515.514.5113.5112.5113.9
season14.214.9115.7112.3
opponent14.814.3111.0118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.416.414.514.214.5
MIA14.916.316.114.615.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onyeka Okongwu51521.20-0.701.890.8113-122514.914.10.8515.215.8-0.66
Jalen Johnson67650.52-0.020.540.4910115.013.51.4715.315.8-0.56
Dejounte Murray78790.470.030.450.393-2514.216.2-2.0716.013.12.92
Garrison Mathews39400.380.120.250.0212-112313.615.2-1.6016.015.10.97
Bogdan Bogdanovic68700.340.160.190.3110115.212.92.2815.714.71.00
Saddiq Bey72720.330.170.160.39-23-513.916.4-2.5015.914.11.83
Trent Forrest2019-0.020.52-0.530.10-45-917.213.83.3613.316.0-2.74
Patty Mills4039-0.200.70-0.900.01-78-1514.114.8-0.6713.916.5-2.67
Clint Capela4544-0.521.02-1.55-0.17-1213-2514.114.9-0.8515.815.20.66

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson41410.39-0.891.270.216-71315.215.7-0.4615.613.71.86
Nikola Jovic31300.16-0.660.830.054-5915.915.20.7014.014.8-0.79
Haywood Highsmith1918-0.11-0.390.27-0.141-2314.715.6-0.9717.713.83.85
Caleb Martin5555-0.21-0.290.09-0.293-4715.615.30.3313.815.5-1.69
Kevin Love2525-0.22-0.280.070.11-1110-2115.115.6-0.4613.315.0-1.71
Bam Adebayo7676-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.568-91715.814.11.6515.112.52.58
Kyle Lowry4848-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.15-76-1314.916.0-1.0415.413.71.67
Jimmy Butler7374-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.380-1115.415.7-0.2513.717.5-3.78
Tyler Herro7072-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.410-1115.814.51.3113.816.9-3.11
Josh Richardson4241-1.040.54-1.59-0.78-98-1715.215.6-0.4315.214.11.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.84,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 105, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.58,091.7%
SEA 82, LAL 810.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.57,089.7%
ORL 102, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.73,089.2%