NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	9.7 [69]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +20.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	81		Comeback	5.5 [95]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -56.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.21	0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.21,0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	27	61%	0.40	4	-0.20	5	60%	-0.06
Brent Barry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	85%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.35	-0.10	-0.25	-0.00	5	0%	-0.32	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.56	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.56	-0.30	-0.29	-0.02	8	15%	-0.28	8	-0.29	4	25%	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	56%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	21	58%	0.02	4	-0.14	10	40%	-0.14
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	13	43%	-0.15	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.04
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31	-0.31	-0.12	-0.21	-0.02	5	0%	-0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.46	-0.47	-0.13	-0.35	-0.02	18	37%	-0.24	3	-0.22	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	29.6	16.6	24.4	2.3	38.4	137.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +49.9%

SEA +1.9%

SEA +4.9%

LAL -8.1%

SEA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.2	86.3	85.3	101.7
season	14.9	15.3		103.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		98.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	16.2	13.9	18.4	15.7
LAL	14.2	14.5	14.9	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	24	24	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.69	-1	2	-3	15.2	15.8	-0.68	13.1	15.2	-2.09
Gary Payton	85	86	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-6	13	15.6	15.9	-0.25	14.6	15.3	-0.76
Chuck Person	26	26	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-13	27	15.3	15.8	-0.45	15.8	14.2	1.60
Brent Barry	84	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.5	16.8	-1.29	15.0	12.2	2.79
Horace Grant	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	-3	7	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.1	12.8	2.23
Rashard Lewis	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	-4	9	13.7	16.8	-3.15	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Ruben Patterson	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.68	-17	18	-35	16.5	14.3	2.20	13.7	16.1	-2.41
Greg Foster	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	5	-9	12.2	15.9	-3.74	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Vin Baker	78	80	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.39	-2	3	-5	16.7	11.2	5.48	14.8	13.7	1.16

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	36	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-6	11	14.6	14.6	-0.01	16.0	15.4	0.58
A.C. Green	43	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	1	-3	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Devean George	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-1	1	9.0	14.7	-5.70	3.0	15.8	-12.81
Rick Fox	27	26	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	0	-1	13.8	15.0	-1.21	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Robert Horry	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-4	7	15.2	14.2	0.95	17.1	14.4	2.68
Shaquille O'Neal	93	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.42	-3	2	-5	14.8	6.0	8.83	15.9	3.5	12.44
Ron Harper	72	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	2	-5	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Kobe Bryant	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	1	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.4	17.4	-1.99
Glen Rice	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.50	-2	1	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.26	15.4	17.0	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.57,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.58,0	92.2%
DAL 85, OKC 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.53,0	90.0%
SAC 84, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.42,0	89.9%