NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	97		Excitement	1.7 [1304]		MVP	Gradey Dick (TOR): +9.3%
Toronto Raptors	121		Comeback	1.0 [578]		LVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): -5.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	55%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Cole Swider	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	1	100%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	5	83%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.01
Duncan Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	0.00	0.10	11	64%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	20	40%	-0.05	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	2	150%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.31	0.00	0.24	13	108%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	16	50%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	16	61%	0.06	5	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	14	63%	0.02	0	0.00	13	54%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	26.5	15.3	25.6	2.5	25.6	121.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.5%

MIA -0.6%

TOR +4.6%

TOR +1.7%

MIA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	TOR	NBA	MIA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	14.5	103.2	130.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.0		112.3	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		117.6	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.9	16.2	13.0	13.7	15.2
TOR	12.6	13.8	18.9	17.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	12.8	15.5	-2.72	11.9	16.0	-4.11
Cole Swider	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-27	30	8.3	15.7	-7.37	18.2	15.4	2.78
Orlando Robinson	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-27	30	8.3	15.7	-7.37	18.2	15.4	2.78
Duncan Robinson	42	43	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.37	-18	-6	-12	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Nikola Jovic	41	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-30	36	14.4	15.8	-1.41	17.1	14.3	2.78
Jimmy Butler	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-16	8	15.2	15.2	0.02	16.4	14.1	2.24
Kyle Lowry	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-17	10	15.8	14.5	1.37	17.2	13.3	3.90
Haywood Highsmith	23	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.29	-19	-5	-14	16.4	14.8	1.59	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Josh Richardson	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.42	-24	0	-24	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.0	16.1	-1.10
Caleb Martin	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	-2	-20	15.5	14.8	0.72	13.7	18.0	-4.35
Tyler Herro	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-16	8	15.2	15.4	-0.26	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Bam Adebayo	67	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.22	-23	-1	-22	16.1	13.0	3.13	16.0	14.4	1.59

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	4	16	16.3	13.5	2.73	15.9	13.4	2.50
Dennis Schroder	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.55	31	-7	38	15.5	15.6	-0.06	16.1	14.3	1.73
Thaddeus Young	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.28	21	3	18	17.2	13.8	3.41	16.3	14.0	2.32
Chris Boucher	34	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.31	20	4	16	14.0	16.5	-2.47	15.5	15.1	0.43
Gradey Dick	23	25	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.15	14	10	4	14.1	16.1	-1.97	15.4	15.2	0.17
Gary Trent Jr.	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.17	14	10	4	16.0	14.8	1.27	15.5	14.8	0.69
Scottie Barnes	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	19	-14	16.1	14.3	1.79	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Immanuel Quickley	62	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	26	-28	14.8	17.1	-2.34	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Jontay Porter	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	23	-22	13.6	17.1	-3.55	14.5	15.8	-1.23
Javon Freeman-Liberty	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	18.2	15.4	2.78	8.3	15.7	-7.37
Garrett Temple	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	18.2	15.4	2.78	8.3	15.7	-7.37
Jalen McDaniels	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	16.3	15.5	0.79	8.7	15.5	-6.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, PHI 141	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DEN 104, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
UTA 100, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%