NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	5.0 [798]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +21.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.3 [796]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -18.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.02	3	80%	0.13	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	7	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	14	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	19	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	8	37%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	15	46%	0.00	7	-0.19	9	78%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.06	0.04	21	68%	0.25	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	17	47%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	11	41%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	8	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	25.0	14.6	26.7	2.4	34.3	129.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.5%

CHI -4.1%

CLE +6.3%

CLE +19.7%

CLE +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.5	15.3	14.5	91.0	109.0	113.9
season	14.5	14.8		113.4	113.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		111.3	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	12.2	12.4	14.3	13.5
CLE	12.2	17.0	15.9	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	39	38	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-24	30	14.2	13.0	1.20	16.3	14.7	1.55
Andre Drummond	42	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-23	28	13.6	13.4	0.16	16.9	14.1	2.74
Terry Taylor	8	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-12	6	13.0	13.5	-0.54	18.1	15.0	3.11
Dalen Terry	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.19	-11	-7	-4	15.0	13.4	1.60	15.4	15.3	0.14
Alex Caruso	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-13	8	13.3	14.0	-0.71	14.5	16.9	-2.40
DeMar DeRozan	84	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-1	-16	13.5	13.3	0.22	14.9	17.1	-2.23
Nikola Vucevic	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-9	0	13.2	14.6	-1.44	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Coby White	80	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-6	-6	13.6	13.2	0.31	15.5	14.4	1.10
Jevon Carter	21	23	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	5	-28	13.6	13.5	0.15	13.0	16.0	-2.93
Zach LaVine	74	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	0	-18	13.4	13.8	-0.47	15.2	15.6	-0.45

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	72	72	0.87	-0.37	1.24	-0.07	32	-14	46	14.9	16.3	-1.37	13.7	12.9	0.84
Donovan Mitchell	76	76	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.01	20	-2	22	15.7	14.0	1.66	13.8	12.7	1.10
Isaac Okoro	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-1	20	13.8	17.3	-3.47	13.8	13.1	0.74
Max Strus	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.05	19	-1	20	14.3	18.5	-4.27	12.8	15.7	-2.91
Dean Wade	55	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	4	10	16.1	14.3	1.84	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Caris LeVert	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	12	-6	16.5	13.4	3.08	13.8	13.1	0.68
Sam Merrill	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	17	-16	14.9	15.6	-0.63	13.6	13.4	0.23
Georges Niang	35	36	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	25	-32	16.1	14.9	1.25	14.3	13.0	1.26
Tristan Thompson	28	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.04	-14	32	-46	16.3	14.9	1.37	12.9	13.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.3%
DEN 110, TOR 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 88, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.9,0.94,1,1	93.0%