NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	4.8 [902]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +20.9%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.0 [1226]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -13.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	14	48%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	10	27%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	17	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	17	42%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.13	0.00	24	63%	0.27	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	46%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	9	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.0	15.8	28.0	2.0	33.0	135.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.7%

MIN -10.9%

CHI +17.0%

MIN -1.6%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.5	91.7	104.2	104.0
season	15.8	15.1		106.2	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.9		98.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	15.5	13.9	13.3	14.7
CHI	12.5	18.0	17.6	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	21	22	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-8	5	14.2	14.9	-0.63	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Wally Szczerbiak	59	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-7	3	14.2	15.5	-1.28	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Michael Olowokandi	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-8	5	16.5	14.2	2.36	19.5	14.2	5.24
Troy Hudson	31	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-10	9	14.2	15.0	-0.84	15.7	15.3	0.45
Fred Hoiberg	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.5	14.8	-0.36	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Latrell Sprewell	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-1	-9	15.1	14.2	0.86	15.9	14.6	1.28
Eddie Griffin	68	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	14.3	15.7	-1.39	14.4	17.7	-3.30
Sam Cassell	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	14.8	14.5	0.31	15.6	15.0	0.62
Trenton Hassell	38	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-2	-7	15.2	14.4	0.71	15.8	15.2	0.58
Kevin Garnett	80	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-4	-3	14.9	14.1	0.80	15.5	15.3	0.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	47	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-1	13	15.0	15.9	-0.94	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Eddy Curry	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	7	-3	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.1	14.1	1.08
Kirk Hinrich	86	86	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	7	-3	15.5	14.7	0.84	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Tyson Chandler	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	7	-3	14.9	16.8	-1.91	13.9	17.0	-3.07
Ben Gordon	64	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	10	-9	14.5	17.5	-3.00	13.8	16.8	-3.01
Antonio Davis	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	16.7	13.5	3.21	16.0	12.9	3.09
Chris Duhon	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	1	9	17.5	14.5	3.00	16.8	13.8	3.01
Luol Deng	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	5	1	15.1	15.9	-0.81	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Eric Piatkowski	9	10	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	4	3	14.7	15.5	-0.84	15.9	14.6	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIN 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SEA 111, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%