NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	4.0 [997]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +17.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	1.2 [1290]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -12.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.17	0.03	0.09	13	71%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	11	76%	0.13	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	4	86%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.07	13	67%	0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	3	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	12	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.21	0.04	0.08	22	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.06
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	14	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	28.3	15.8	32.0	2.5	35.3	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.9%

MIN -8.4%

OKC +13.9%

OKC +9.0%

OKC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.3	109.1	117.2	106.0
season	14.7	15.0		100.1	106.2
opponent	15.5	14.8		103.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	14.8	13.6	16.2	15.0
OKC	12.8	14.0	15.7	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-10	12	13.7	15.4	-1.77	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Ryan Hollins	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	14.4	15.2	-0.81	15.4	13.6	1.82
Oleksiy Pecherov	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	0	-8	15.4	15.0	0.46	15.0	14.0	0.97
Sasha Pavlovic	9	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.0	0.37	14.2	14.1	0.14
Al Jefferson	79	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-11	14	15.1	14.4	0.69	13.6	16.3	-2.74
Jonny Flynn	71	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	14.6	15.9	-1.24	14.2	13.8	0.43
Ryan Gomes	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.41	6	-14	20	14.8	15.8	-0.99	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Ramon Sessions	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	3	-14	15.9	14.6	1.24	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Corey Brewer	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-10	12	15.3	14.5	0.74	14.5	13.4	1.10
Damien Wilkins	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	1	-10	14.3	15.8	-1.54	13.6	14.6	-0.99
Kevin Love	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	7	-22	16.2	13.3	2.89	14.6	13.5	1.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	0	8	14.3	13.2	1.08	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Russell Westbrook	65	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	13.8	14.6	-0.85	15.9	13.2	2.69
Jeff Green	83	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	7	-6	13.9	14.9	-1.01	15.1	14.5	0.60
Serge Ibaka	47	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-5	18	14.6	13.6	1.04	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Thabo Sefolosha	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	13.8	15.0	-1.22	15.2	14.6	0.57
Nick Collison	24	23	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-5	18	14.7	13.9	0.76	15.3	14.9	0.45
Nenad Krstic	53	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	9	-10	13.7	14.5	-0.80	15.2	14.8	0.37
James Harden	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	10	-12	14.4	14.0	0.43	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Eric Maynor	35	34	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	12	-16	14.4	13.9	0.52	13.2	15.9	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MEM 102, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 98, NOH 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%